IMT Novi Beograd
vs
Železničar Pančevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: IMT Novi Beograd
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo
| Probability | IMT Novi Beograd | Draw | Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 34.4% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.5% | 34.4% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why IMT Novi Beograd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.76.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo match preview
IMT Novi Beograd faces Železničar Pančevo in the Serbia Super Liga on October 24, 2026. According to our model, IMT Novi Beograd has a 41% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 34% and Železničar Pančevo at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of IMT Novi Beograd, with a 16% chance. Expected goals are 1.08 for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.76 for Železničar Pančevo.
In terms of recent form, IMT Novi Beograd has recorded a W-D-L-D-W-L sequence, while Železničar Pančevo has shown stronger performance with W-W-L-W-L-W. Historically, in their last two encounters, Železničar Pančevo has won both matches against IMT Novi Beograd. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo attack and defence ratings
IMT Novi Beograd
Železničar Pančevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 41.5% |
| Draw | 34.4% | |
| Železničar Pančevo | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | IMT Novi Beograd win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.1% |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo stats
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo recent form
| IMT Novi Beograd |
WDLDWL |
| Železničar Pančevo |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo season so far
IMT Novi Beograd record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Železničar Pančevo record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Železničar Pančevo | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-11 | IMT Novi Beograd | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.