Radnicki 1923
vs
Radnik Surdulica
Garuda Lions Prediction: Radnicki 1923
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica
| Probability | Radnicki 1923 | Draw | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.9% | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 56.9% | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Radnicki 1923
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica match preview
Radnicki 1923 is favored to win against Radnik Surdulica, with a 57% probability according to our model. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Radnicki, projected at 2.04 compared to Radnik's 1.15. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 61%.
In terms of recent form, Radnicki 1923 has a mixed record with one win in their last six matches, while Radnik Surdulica has shown slightly better form with two wins in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Radnicki 1923, with one win and one draw in their last two encounters against Radnik Surdulica. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica attack and defence ratings
Radnicki 1923
Radnik Surdulica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 56.9% | 1.76 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.1% | 2.32 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 56.9% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Radnik Surdulica | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnicki 1923 win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 43.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.5% |
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica stats
Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica recent form
| Radnicki 1923 |
LWWDDW |
| Radnik Surdulica |
WLDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica season so far
Radnicki 1923 record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnik Surdulica record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Radnicki 1923 | Radnik Surdulica | Serbia Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Radnik Surdulica | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.