Serbia Super Liga Β· Β·Matchday 13

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar

Garuda Lions Prediction: Novi Pazar

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

Radnicki NIS 30%
Draw 33%
Novi Pazar 37%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Novi Pazar wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
12% of simulated outcomes

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnicki NISDrawNovi Pazar
Model30.2%32.5%37.2%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final30.2%32.5%37.2%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar match preview

Radnicki NIS faces Novi Pazar in the Serbia Super Liga with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Radnicki NIS has a 30% chance of winning, while Novi Pazar is favored at 37%, with a 33% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Expected goals suggest Radnicki NIS will score 0.98, compared to Novi Pazar's 1.12.

In terms of recent form, Radnicki NIS has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, while Novi Pazar has recorded two draws and two wins in the same period. Head-to-head results indicate that Novi Pazar has won both of their last encounters against Radnicki NIS. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 35%, and both teams scoring sits at 43%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnicki NIS ↓ / Novi Pazar β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 8% 1 11% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar expected goals

Radnicki NIS 0.98
Novi Pazar 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.10

Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar attack and defence ratings

Radnicki NIS

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Novi Pazar

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Novi Pazar 37.2% 2.69 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 56.5% 1.77 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.8% 1.43 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.8% 1.59 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnicki NIS30.2%
Draw32.5%
Novi Pazar37.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.1%
Under 2.564.9%
Both teams to scoreYes43.5%
No56.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.8%
12 (either side)67.5%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1Novi Pazar win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss62.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.6%
0-112.3%

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar stats

Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar recent form

newest first
Radnicki NIS LLLWLD
Novi Pazar LDDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar season so far

league record

Radnicki NIS record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Novi Pazar record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Radnicki NIS wins 0Draws 2Novi Pazar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-14Novi PazarRadnicki NISSerbia Super Liga1-0
2025-08-10Radnicki NISNovi PazarSerbia Super Liga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Novi Pazar Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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