Novi Pazar
vs
IMT Novi Beograd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Novi Pazar
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd
| Probability | Novi Pazar | Draw | IMT Novi Beograd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 37.7% | 35.3% |
| Market | 37.2% | 28.7% | 34.0% |
| Final | 34.6% | 31.0% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -10.3% | +9.0% | +1.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.57, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd match preview
Novi Pazar faces IMT Novi Beograd in a closely contested match, with probabilities showing Novi Pazar at 35%, a draw at 31%, and IMT Novi Beograd at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Novi Pazar, occurring with a 13% chance. Both teams have struggled for consistency recently, with Novi Pazar recording a form of L-D-D-W-D-L and IMT Novi Beograd at W-D-L-D-W-L.
Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with Novi Pazar at 0.73 and IMT Novi Beograd at 0.87. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is low at 22%, while the probability of both teams scoring stands at 31%. Their recent head-to-head history is evenly matched, with each team securing one win in the last two meetings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Novi Pazar and IMT Novi Beograd expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.60
Novi Pazar and IMT Novi Beograd attack and defence ratings
Novi Pazar
IMT Novi Beograd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 34.6% | 2.89 | -10.3% | 2.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.6% | 1.46 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.1% | 1.37 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 34.6% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| IMT Novi Beograd | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.4% |
| No | 68.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Novi Pazar win | 8.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 73.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.4% |
| 0-1 | 16.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd stats
Novi Pazar and IMT Novi Beograd recent form
| Novi Pazar |
LDDWDL |
| IMT Novi Beograd |
WDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Novi Pazar and IMT Novi Beograd season so far
Novi Pazar record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IMT Novi Beograd record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | IMT Novi Beograd | Novi Pazar | Serbia Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-04 | Novi Pazar | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 28.7%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.36 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.10 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.16 | 2.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .