Cukaricki
vs
Zemun
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cukaricki
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Cukaricki vs Zemun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cukaricki vs Zemun
| Probability | Cukaricki | Draw | Zemun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 25.5% | 17.8% |
| Market | 63.2% | 21.2% | 15.7% |
| Final | 61.5% | 22.2% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +4.3% | +2.2% |
Why Cukaricki
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.90.
Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cukaricki vs Zemun match preview
Cukaricki enters the match against Zemun with a probability of 65% to win, while Zemun has a 14% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Cukaricki's expected goals stand at 1.77, compared to Zemun's 0.90, indicating a stronger offensive expectation for the home side.
Both teams have struggled in recent form, with Cukaricki recording a sequence of draws and losses (D-L-D-L-L-L) and Zemun also facing challenges (L-D-D-L-L-L). In their last four head-to-head encounters, Cukaricki has won twice, Zemun once, and there has been one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cukaricki and Zemun expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Cukaricki and Zemun attack and defence ratings
Cukaricki
Zemun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cukaricki vs Zemun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 61.5% | 1.62 | -6.5% | 1.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 61.5% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Zemun | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cukaricki win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Cukaricki vs Zemun stats
Cukaricki and Zemun recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cukaricki and Zemun season so far
Cukaricki record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
Cukaricki vs Zemun head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-10 | Zemun | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2018-07-21 | Cukaricki | Zemun | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2017-12-04 | Cukaricki | Zemun | Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2017-08-13 | Zemun | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cukaricki vs Zemun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.2%, draw 21.2%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.50 | 6.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.60 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.15 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.18 | 5.96 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .