Zemun
vs
Železničar Pančevo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Železničar Pančevo
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo
| Probability | Zemun | Draw | Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 29.2% | 46.1% |
| Market | 15.2% | 22.3% | 62.5% |
| Final | 17.6% | 24.0% | 58.4% |
| Edge | +9.4% | +7.0% | -16.4% |
Why Železničar Pančevo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo match preview
Zemun faces Železničar Pančevo in the Serbia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The probabilities indicate a strong likelihood for Železničar Pančevo to secure a victory at 54%, while Zemun has a 21% chance of winning and a 26% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Zemun stand at 0.98, compared to 1.43 for Železničar Pančevo.
Recent form shows Zemun struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, recording two draws and four losses. In contrast, Železničar Pančevo has had a mixed run, winning three of their last six games but also suffering three defeats. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 12% probability, while both teams are expected to score at a rate of 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zemun and Železničar Pančevo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Zemun and Železničar Pančevo attack and defence ratings
Zemun
Železničar Pančevo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 58.4% | 1.71 | -16.4% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemun | 17.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Železničar Pančevo | 58.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Železničar Pančevo win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo stats
Zemun and Železničar Pančevo recent form
| Zemun |
DDLLLL |
| Železničar Pančevo |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zemun and Železničar Pančevo season so far
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Železničar Pančevo record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Železničar Pančevo | Zemun | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2021-03-13 | Zemun | Železničar Pančevo | Prva Liga | 0-2 |
| 2020-09-04 | Železničar Pančevo | Zemun | Prva Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.2%, draw 22.3%, away 62.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.42 | 4.36 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 5.90 | 3.85 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 4.10 | 1.46 |
| Marathonbet | 6.05 | 4.10 | 1.41 |
| Pinnacle | 6.33 | 4.04 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .