Garuda Lions
Today
Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki

2 – 1 Full time

4′karel mustmaa
5′Uros Tegeltija
29′nikola djuricic
29′Uros·Miladinovic
30′Mirko Milikic
45′Simão PedroAleksa Kuljanin
45′David Akpan AnkeyeKwaku Karikari
45′Mamane Moustapha Amadou SaboNikola jovanovic
60′kristian sekularacDavorin Tošić
60′Sambou Sissoko
63′Remy Rees-DottinAboubacar Cisse
68′Đorđe Jovanović
70′Srđan PlavšićLuka Adžić
71′Đorđe JovanovićL Đorđević
80′Marko DocićMateja Prokopijevic
80′karel mustmaaAires Tino Nanque
80′Uros·MiladinovicUroš Nikolić
82′Milan djokovic
89′Kwaku Karikari
90′Nikola jovanovic

Stadion FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, Pancevo

Železničar Pančevo 55%
Draw 25%
Cukaricki 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
75 Possession % 25
8 Corners 0
10 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
574 Accurate passes 121

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŽelezničar PančevoDrawCukaricki
Model57.7%25.4%16.9%
Market53.6%24.4%22.0%
Final54.6%24.6%20.7%
Edge+4.0%+1.0%-5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Železničar Pančevo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Železničar Pančevo below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Železničar Pan ↓ / Cukaricki → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Železničar Pančevo and Cukaricki expected goals

Železničar Pančevo 1.76
Cukaricki 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.62

Železničar Pančevo and Cukaricki attack and defence ratings

Železničar Pančevo

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Cukaricki

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki: result vs prediction

Železničar Pančevo 2 – 1 Cukaricki

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Železničar Pančevo 54.6% 1.83 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.3% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Železničar Pančevo54.6%
Draw24.6%
Cukaricki20.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.7%
Under 2.551.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.3%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Železničar Pančevo win33.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss42.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-011.7%
2-011.3%

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki stats

Železničar Pančevo and Cukaricki recent form

newest first
Železničar Pančevo LWLWLD
Cukaricki DLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Železničar Pančevo and Cukaricki going into this match

league record before kick-off

Železničar Pančevo record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Cukaricki record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Železničar Pančevo wins 3Draws 4Cukaricki wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-22Železničar PančevoCukarickiSerbia Super Liga0-0
2026-03-22CukarickiŽelezničar PančevoSerbia Super Liga3-2
2025-10-25Železničar PančevoCukarickiSerbia Super Liga1-0
2025-05-23CukarickiŽelezničar PančevoSuper Liga2-2
2025-03-30Železničar PančevoCukarickiSuper Liga1-2
2024-11-04CukarickiŽelezničar PančevoSuper Liga2-0
2024-02-17CukarickiŽelezničar PančevoSuper Liga2-1
2023-09-04Železničar PančevoCukarickiSuper Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Železničar Pančevo vs Cukaricki odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 24.4%, away 22.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.97 4.40
Bet365 1.73 3.90 4.33
BetVictor 1.60 3.30 3.70
Betano 1.70 3.70 4.15
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.33
Marathonbet 1.64 3.74 4.15
Pinnacle 1.70 3.86 4.07
SBO 1.67 3.41 3.90
William Hill 1.70 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.07
X 3.74 ▼ -0.11
2 4.15 ▼ -0.23

13 snapshots recorded, from .