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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Macva vs Mladost Lucani

1 – 2 Full time

29′Nikša Delibašić
35′Veljko Kijevcanin
49′Petar Bojić
53′Dušan Jovančić
54′mihailo todosijevicJovan ciric
54′Veljko KijevcaninBranko Jovičić
64′Kristijan Tojcic
65′Jovan ciric
68′V. IlićNikola Lainović
68′mitar ergelasstefan colovic
76′Nikša DelibašićBojan Matic
81′Slobodan Sladojević
83′Vasil Tašovski
86′Igor RistivojevićDarko Terzić
86′Bosko VrastanovicVasilije Đurić
90′Petar BojićJohn Mary
90′Dušan JovančićTaras Bondarenko
90′Filip MladenovićMilan Joksimović

Gradski Stadion Sabac, Shabac

Macva 34%
Draw 31%
Mladost Lucani 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
6 Corners 1
20 Fouls 15
0 Saves 3
303 Accurate passes 240

Macva vs Mladost Lucani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Macva vs Mladost Lucani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMacvaDrawMladost Lucani
Model31.3%34.2%34.4%
Market35.1%30.1%34.8%
Final34.2%31.2%34.7%
Edge-3.8%+4.1%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Mladost Lucani

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Macva ↓ / Mladost Lucani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Macva and Mladost Lucani expected goals

Macva 0.93
Mladost Lucani 0.99

Total expected goals: 1.93

Macva and Mladost Lucani attack and defence ratings

Macva

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Mladost Lucani

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Macva vs Mladost Lucani: result vs prediction

Macva 1 – 2 Mladost Lucani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Macva vs Mladost Lucani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mladost Lucani 34.7% 2.88 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.7% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 60.5% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.8% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Macva34.2%
Draw31.2%
Mladost Lucani34.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.3%
Under 2.569.7%
Both teams to scoreYes39.5%
No60.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.3%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1Mladost Lucani win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.9%
1-114.9%
0-113.1%

Macva vs Mladost Lucani stats

Macva and Mladost Lucani recent form

newest first
Macva LDDWLW
Mladost Lucani LWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Macva and Mladost Lucani going into this match

league record before kick-off

Macva record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Mladost Lucani record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Macva vs Mladost Lucani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Macva wins 1Draws 7Mladost Lucani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-05Mladost LucaniMacvaFriendlies Clubs2-1
2021-04-06MacvaMladost LucaniSuper Liga0-2
2020-10-17Mladost LucaniMacvaSuper Liga2-1
2020-06-07Mladost LucaniMacvaSuper Liga2-1
2019-10-26MacvaMladost LucaniSuper Liga0-1
2019-02-16MacvaMladost LucaniSuper Liga0-1
2018-08-31Mladost LucaniMacvaSuper Liga1-2
2018-05-04Mladost LucaniMacvaSuper Liga0-0
2018-04-05MacvaMladost LucaniSuper Liga2-1
2017-10-29Mladost LucaniMacvaSuper Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Macva vs Mladost Lucani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 30.1%, away 34.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.68 3.16 2.75
Bet365 2.70 3.10 2.60
BetVictor 2.40 2.75 2.40
Betano 2.60 3.00 2.60
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.70
Marathonbet 2.52 2.98 2.59
Pinnacle 2.57 3.02 2.69
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.58 ▲ +0.29
X 3.01 ▼ -0.19
2 2.61 ▼ -0.44

11 snapshots recorded, from .