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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS

3 – 0 Full time

8′Tomas·Handel
24′Mohammad Abu Fani
29′Marko Arnautović
34′Matej Gashtarov
38′Mohammad Abu Fani
45′stefan nikolic
45′Aleksandar VidovicIssah Abass
45′stefan nikolicdorde petrovic
49′Tomas·Handel
59′Aleksandar KataiMirko Ivanić
60′Tomas·HandelMihailo Ristić
60′Matej StrikaVasilije Kostov
61′Marko ArnautovićBamba Dieng
61′Ibrahim·MustaphaIgor Ivanović
66′Uroš Vitas
74′A. ShestyukMiloš Rošević
77′Loizos LoizouKim Ye-geon

Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade

FK Crvena Zvezda 75%
Draw 17%
Radnicki NIS 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 2
71 Possession % 29
7 Corners 3
14 Fouls 8
6 Offsides 0
2 Saves 9
547 Accurate passes 170

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK Crvena ZvezdaDrawRadnicki NIS
Model59.2%27.0%13.8%
Market79.8%13.1%7.1%
Final74.7%16.6%8.8%
Edge-20.6%+13.8%+6.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Crvena Zvez ↓ / Radnicki NIS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 16% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

FK Crvena Zvezda and Radnicki NIS expected goals

FK Crvena Zvezda 1.59
Radnicki NIS 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.24

FK Crvena Zvezda and Radnicki NIS attack and defence ratings

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Radnicki NIS

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS: result vs prediction

FK Crvena Zvezda 3 – 0 Radnicki NIS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 74.7% 1.34 -20.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.2% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.9% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Crvena Zvezda74.7%
Draw16.6%
Radnicki NIS8.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.9%
Under 2.561.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.1%
No60.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.2%
12 (either side)83.4%
X2 (draw or away)25.3%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win32.9%
Push (exactly one goal)26.2%
Loss40.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.8%
2-013.5%
1-112.1%

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS stats

FK Crvena Zvezda and Radnicki NIS recent form

newest first
FK Crvena Zvezda WWDWWL
Radnicki NIS WLDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda and Radnicki NIS going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Crvena Zvezda record

  • They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Radnicki NIS record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9FK Crvena Zvezda wins 1Draws 0Radnicki NIS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISSerbia Super Liga2-0
2025-10-26Radnicki NISFK Crvena ZvezdaSerbia Super Liga0-0
2025-03-08Radnicki NISFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga0-3
2024-10-18FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISSuper Liga5-1
2024-03-13Radnicki NISFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga0-2
2023-12-06FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISCup5-0
2023-09-30FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISSuper Liga1-0
2022-10-23Radnicki NISFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga1-2
2022-07-10FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISSuper Liga4-0
2022-05-07FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki NISSuper Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 79.8%, draw 13.1%, away 7.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.10 10.50 21.00
Bet365 1.17 7.00 13.00
BetVictor 1.11 5.25 9.50
Betano 1.19 6.00 10.75
Betfair 1.14 7.50 15.00
Marathonbet 1.09 7.50 15.50
Pinnacle 1.15 7.71 10.58
SBO 1.15 5.99 9.64
William Hill 1.15 6.50 13.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.15 ▲ +0.04
X 7.00 ▼ -1.00
2 13.00 ▼ -6.00

12 snapshots recorded, from .