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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd

3 – 1 Full time

7′Ibrahim·Mustapha
32′Uroš Stojanović
41′Luka Izderic
45′mamadou fallLeon Ivanović
45′Ethan HoardDognimani Yacouba Silue
52′Sergio Peña
61′Luka Izderic
66′Stefan Veličković
67′Tayrell·WouterJ. Šljivić
67′Luka IzdericLuka Borovic
73′Radomir Milosavljević
73′Luka Borovic
75′Vukasin jovanovicstefan nikolic
75′Milos SpasicA. Shestyuk
75′Ibrahim·MustaphaIgor Ivanović
77′hameed aderojuĐ. Ranković
80′A. Shestyuk
82′Tjay De BarrA. Vasilić

Referee: M. Milanovic

Radnicki NIS 43%
Draw 29%
OFK Beograd 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 2
18 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
144 Accurate passes 419

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnicki NISDrawOFK Beograd
Model41.4%33.0%25.6%
Market43.1%27.6%29.3%
Final42.7%28.9%28.4%
Edge-1.7%+5.5%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Radnicki NIS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.85.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnicki NIS ↓ / OFK Beograd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 10% 1 14% 15% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Radnicki NIS and OFK Beograd expected goals

Radnicki NIS 1.15
OFK Beograd 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.00

Radnicki NIS and OFK Beograd attack and defence ratings

Radnicki NIS

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.83 -17%

OFK Beograd

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd: result vs prediction

Radnicki NIS 3 – 1 OFK Beograd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radnicki NIS 42.7% 2.34 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 59.6% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.6% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnicki NIS42.7%
Draw28.9%
OFK Beograd28.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.3%
Under 2.567.7%
Both teams to scoreYes40.4%
No59.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.6%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Radnicki NIS win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss58.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-014.9%
1-114.5%
1-014.3%

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd stats

Radnicki NIS and OFK Beograd recent form

newest first
Radnicki NIS LDLDWL
OFK Beograd DLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnicki NIS and OFK Beograd going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radnicki NIS record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

OFK Beograd record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Radnicki NIS wins 1Draws 2OFK Beograd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Radnicki NISOFK BeogradSerbia Super Liga1-2
2025-11-03OFK BeogradRadnicki NISSerbia Super Liga0-1
2025-03-02OFK BeogradRadnicki NISSuper Liga2-0
2024-10-04Radnicki NISOFK BeogradSuper Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 27.9%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.25 3.15
1xBet 2.18 3.48 3.25
Bet365 2.15 3.30 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 3.00 2.80
Betano 2.12 3.25 3.10
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.30
Marathonbet 2.07 3.30 3.08
Pinnacle 2.11 3.36 3.13
SBO 2.05 3.07 2.97
Unibet 2.30 3.10 2.63
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.11 ▼ -0.06
X 3.30 ▲ +0.01
2 3.10 ▼ -0.06

11 snapshots recorded, from .