Serbia Super Liga · 2026-09-07T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd

1 – 1 Full time

32′			Ognjen Čančarević
42′			Stefan Šapić
45′			Milan Rodić
45′			nikola glisicRafael Batista da Silva Junior
45′			Josué TiendrébéogoTadija Cojic
45′			Lazar CvijeticCharly Keita
48′			Đ. Ranković
50′			Marko Gobeljić
55′			Charly Keita
64′			Iván MartosKarl Kezy Fabien
64′			Đ. RankovićTayrell·Wouter
68′			Dognimani Yacouba SilueEthan Hoard
78′			A. Vukičević
82′			Tjay De BarrMiljan Momcilovic
83′			Marko GobeljićStefan Despotovski
85′			Vladimir RadocajAleksa Mitić
88′			Tadija Cojic
90′			Charly Keita
90′			Ethan Hoard

Omladinski Stadion, BelgradeReferee: S. Jovanovic

OFK Beograd

35%

Draw

31%

IMT Novi Beograd

34%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

8	Shots	22
2	Shots on target	5
41	Possession %	59
2	Corners	4
20	Fouls	13
1	Offsides	2
3	Saves	2
265	Accurate passes	282

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	OFK Beograd	Draw	IMT Novi Beograd
Model	22.5%	33.0%	44.4%
Market	39.5%	30.3%	30.3%
Final	35.2%	31.0%	33.8%
Edge	-16.9%	+2.8%	+14.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

84%

2+ goals

59%

3+ goals

31%

No goals

16%

OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd expected goals

OFK Beograd

0.76

IMT Novi Beograd

1.18

Total expected goals: 1.94

OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd attack and defence ratings

OFK Beograd

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

1.10 +10%

IMT Novi Beograd

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

0.55 -45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd: result vs prediction

OFK Beograd 1 – 1 IMT Novi Beograd

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Novi Pazar v Železničar Pančevo — match page · 2026-09-04
Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS · 2026-09-05
Macva vs Radnicki 1923 · 2026-09-05
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
Vojvodina v Zemun — match page · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

OFK Beograd, previous: FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd prediction
OFK Beograd, next: Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd: odds and pick
IMT Novi Beograd, previous: IMT Novi Beograd v Mladost Lucani analysis
IMT Novi Beograd, next: IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda: odds and pick

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	OFK Beograd	35.2%	2.84	-16.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	69.2%	1.44	—	—
Both teams to score	No	61.8%	1.62	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	69.0%	1.45	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	77.5%	1.29	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	OFK Beograd	35.2%
	Draw	31.0%
	IMT Novi Beograd	33.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	30.8%
	Under 2.5	69.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	38.2%
	No	61.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.2%
	12 (either side)	69.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.8%
Handicap -1	OFK Beograd win	7.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	15.4%
	Loss	77.5%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	15.6%
	0-1	15.6%
	1-1	14.2%

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd stats

OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd recent form

newest first

OFK Beograd	LWLDWD
IMT Novi Beograd	WLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd going into this match

league record before kick-off

OFK Beograd record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IMT Novi Beograd record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1OFK Beograd wins 3Draws 1IMT Novi Beograd wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-22	OFK Beograd	IMT Novi Beograd	Serbia Super Liga	3-3
2025-10-25	IMT Novi Beograd	OFK Beograd	Serbia Super Liga	1-1
2025-02-26	IMT Novi Beograd	OFK Beograd	Super Liga	1-1
2024-09-28	OFK Beograd	IMT Novi Beograd	Super Liga	4-3
2019-10-19	IMT Novi Beograd	OFK Beograd	Srpska Liga - Belgrade	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 30.3%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.30	3.10	3.00
1xBet	2.43	3.12	3.12
Bet365	2.35	3.20	3.00
BetVictor	2.15	2.80	2.63
Betano	2.35	2.95	3.00
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.90
Dafabet	2.34	3.00	3.10
Marathonbet	2.30	2.96	2.96
Pinnacle	2.37	2.89	3.08
SBO	2.24	2.89	2.80
Superbet	2.35	3.00	3.10
Unibet	2.28	3.00	2.75
William Hill	2.30	2.90	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.20

X 3.00 ▼ -0.25

2 3.00 ▲ +0.50

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.