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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

3 – 1 Full time

36′I. Miladinovic
54′M. Aleksic
55′E. HoardD. Rankovic
56′Yacouba Silue
59′M. AleksicB. Kostic
66′B. Kostic
71′S. NwuluM. Milovanovic
71′I. MiladinovicA. Zekovic
71′E. KojzekJeh
72′D. Y. Silue
73′M. RodicL. Ivanovic
73′M. MomcilovicH. Toure
73′T. De BarrT. Wouter
77′I. BabaC. Traore
79′M. GobeljicS. Despotovski
80′Aderoju Hameed Ayinde
84′Aleks Zeković
87′Milan Vukotić

Stadion Partizana, BelgradeReferee: Andrija Stojanovic, Serbia

FK Partizan 51%
Draw 25%
OFK Beograd 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 1
17 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 5
5 Saves 3
367 Accurate passes 232

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK PartizanDrawOFK Beograd
Model53.7%25.4%20.9%
Market50.7%24.7%24.7%
Final51.4%24.8%23.7%
Edge+3.1%+0.7%-3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Partizan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FK Partizan below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Partizan ↓ / OFK Beograd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

FK Partizan and OFK Beograd expected goals

FK Partizan 1.79
OFK Beograd 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.84

FK Partizan and OFK Beograd attack and defence ratings

FK Partizan

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.98 -2%

OFK Beograd

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd: result vs prediction

FK Partizan 3 – 1 OFK Beograd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Partizan 51.4% 1.94 +3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Partizan51.4%
Draw24.8%
OFK Beograd23.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.1%
Under 2.545.9%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.3%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)48.6%
Handicap -1FK Partizan win30.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss46.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.8%
2-09.4%

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd stats

FK Partizan and OFK Beograd recent form

newest first
FK Partizan WLLLWW
OFK Beograd WLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Partizan and OFK Beograd going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Partizan record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

OFK Beograd record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3FK Partizan wins 2Draws 2OFK Beograd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09FK PartizanOFK BeogradSerbia Super Liga1-1
2026-02-28FK PartizanOFK BeogradSerbia Super Liga1-2
2025-09-27OFK BeogradFK PartizanSerbia Super Liga0-2
2025-04-23FK PartizanOFK BeogradSuper Liga2-2
2025-02-15FK PartizanOFK BeogradSuper Liga4-1
2024-09-15OFK BeogradFK PartizanSuper Liga3-2
2023-10-17FK PartizanOFK BeogradFriendlies Clubs2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 24.7%, away 24.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 3.75 4.10
1xBet 1.78 3.92 3.54
Bet365 1.85 3.80 3.70
BetVictor 1.70 3.30 3.25
Betano 1.72 3.70 3.95
Betfair 1.80 3.90 3.80
Dafabet 1.83 3.70 3.80
Marathonbet 1.76 3.92 3.48
Pinnacle 1.84 3.63 3.66
SBO 1.82 3.37 3.33
Superbet 1.85 3.70 3.75
Unibet 1.60 3.70 4.10
William Hill 1.80 3.60 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.25
X 3.70 ▼ -0.50
2 3.70 ▼ -1.46

10 snapshots recorded, from .