OFK Beograd
vs
Zemun
1 – 0 Full time
OFK Beograd vs Zemun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFK Beograd vs Zemun
| Probability | OFK Beograd | Draw | Zemun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.0% | 22.9% | 13.1% |
| Market | 66.4% | 21.2% | 12.5% |
| Final | 65.8% | 21.6% | 12.6% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
Why OFK Beograd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFK Beograd and Zemun expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
OFK Beograd and Zemun attack and defence ratings
OFK Beograd
Zemun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
OFK Beograd vs Zemun: result vs prediction
OFK Beograd 1 – 0 Zemun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
OFK Beograd vs Zemun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFK Beograd | 65.8% | 1.52 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | OFK Beograd win | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFK Beograd | 65.8% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Zemun | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | OFK Beograd win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
OFK Beograd vs Zemun stats
OFK Beograd and Zemun recent form
| OFK Beograd |
LDWDLW |
| Zemun |
LLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
OFK Beograd and Zemun going into this match
OFK Beograd record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
OFK Beograd vs Zemun head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
OFK Beograd vs Zemun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.8%, draw 21.3%, away 11.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.34 | 4.30 | 9.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.33 | 4.20 | 9.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.20 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 4.40 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.33 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 4.25 | 7.74 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.01 | 6.86 |
| Superbet | 1.39 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 3.75 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .