FK Crvena Zvezda
vs
Cukaricki
4 – 0 Full time
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki
| Probability | FK Crvena Zvezda | Draw | Cukaricki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 28.4% | 17.0% |
| Market | 78.9% | 13.5% | 7.6% |
| Final | 72.8% | 17.3% | 9.9% |
| Edge | -24.4% | +14.9% | +9.5% |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Crvena Zvezda and Cukaricki expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
FK Crvena Zvezda and Cukaricki attack and defence ratings
FK Crvena Zvezda
Cukaricki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki: result vs prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda 4 – 0 Cukaricki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 72.8% | 1.37 | -24.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 72.8% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Cukaricki | 9.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.7% |
| No | 58.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 12.1% |
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki stats
FK Crvena Zvezda and Cukaricki recent form
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
WLWLWW |
| Cukaricki |
WDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda and Cukaricki going into this match
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Cukaricki record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Cukaricki | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cukaricki | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-04 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.2%, draw 13.5%, away 7.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.14 | 6.50 | 16.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 6.90 | 13.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.14 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.25 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.19 | 6.10 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.17 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 6.90 | 13.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 7.38 | 12.80 |
| SBO | 1.15 | 5.99 | 9.26 |
| Superbet | 1.17 | 6.90 | 11.00 |
| Unibet | 1.11 | 6.40 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .