Macva
vs
Radnicki NIS
1 – 0 Full time
Macva vs Radnicki NIS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Macva vs Radnicki NIS
| Probability | Macva | Draw | Radnicki NIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 31.6% | 39.9% |
| Market | 27.6% | 29.1% | 43.3% |
| Final | 27.8% | 29.7% | 42.5% |
| Edge | +0.9% | +2.6% | -3.4% |
Why Radnicki NIS
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Macva and Radnicki NIS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Macva and Radnicki NIS attack and defence ratings
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Macva vs Radnicki NIS: result vs prediction
Macva 1 – 0 Radnicki NIS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Macva vs Radnicki NIS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki NIS | 42.5% | 2.35 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macva | 27.8% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Radnicki NIS | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnicki NIS win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
Macva vs Radnicki NIS stats
Macva and Radnicki NIS recent form
| Macva |
LWLLL |
| Radnicki NIS |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Macva and Radnicki NIS going into this match
Macva record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnicki NIS record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Macva vs Radnicki NIS head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Macva vs Radnicki NIS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 29.1%, away 43.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.16 |
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.18 | 2.07 |
| 888Sport | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 2.80 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.15 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.18 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36 | 3.11 | 2.12 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 3.01 | 2.01 |
| Superbet | 3.40 | 3.15 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.04 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .