Novi Pazar
vs
Macva
1 – 1 Full time
Novi Pazar vs Macva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Novi Pazar vs Macva
| Probability | Novi Pazar | Draw | Macva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 30.3% | 27.5% |
| Market | 56.6% | 24.5% | 18.9% |
| Final | 53.0% | 26.0% | 21.0% |
| Edge | -14.5% | +5.9% | +8.6% |
Why Novi Pazar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 1.01.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Novi Pazar and Macva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Novi Pazar and Macva attack and defence ratings
Novi Pazar
Macva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Novi Pazar vs Macva: result vs prediction
Novi Pazar 1 – 1 Macva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Novi Pazar vs Macva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 53.0% | 1.89 | -14.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 53.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Macva | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Novi Pazar win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Novi Pazar vs Macva stats
Novi Pazar and Macva recent form
| Novi Pazar |
LWLLDW |
| Macva |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Novi Pazar and Macva going into this match
Novi Pazar record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Macva record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Novi Pazar vs Macva head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Novi Pazar vs Macva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 24.5%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 3.55 | 5.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.55 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.93 | 4.85 |
| Superbet | 1.63 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .