Železničar Pančevo
vs
Radnik Surdulica
5 – 1 Full time
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica
| Probability | Železničar Pančevo | Draw | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 33.4% | 27.0% |
| Market | 43.7% | 28.6% | 27.7% |
| Final | 42.7% | 29.8% | 27.5% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +4.8% | -0.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica attack and defence ratings
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica: result vs prediction
Železničar Pančevo 5 – 1 Radnik Surdulica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 42.7% | 2.34 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 42.7% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Radnik Surdulica | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Železničar Pančevo win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica stats
Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica recent form
| Železničar Pančevo |
LDDLLW |
| Radnik Surdulica |
WWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica going into this match
Železničar Pančevo record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Radnik Surdulica record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Železničar Pančevo | Radnik Surdulica | Serbia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Železničar Pančevo | Radnik Surdulica | Serbia Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Radnik Surdulica | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-13 | Železničar Pančevo | Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-02 | Železničar Pančevo | Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-28 | Radnik Surdulica | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 28.6%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 2.88 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.10 | 3.31 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .