Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo

2 – 0 Full time

13′Dauda Agwom
38′D. Johnson AgwomA. Ljajic
43′Mamane Amadou Sabo
46′N. JovanovicS. Plavsic
53′P. Gadio
55′Tomislav Dadić
60′S. PedroA. Kuljanin
65′F. MulicS. Togbe
70′A. MiljkovicB. Adzic
70′T. DadicN. Stankovic
70′D. AnkeyeM. Curic
70′M. Amadou SaboK. Sekularac
79′Kaheim Dixon
86′K. Dixon
88′Ivan Davidović
88′Adem Ljajić
88′Nikola Đuričić

Gradski Stadion, Novi PazarReferee: N. Simovic

Novi Pazar 30%
Draw 28%
Železničar Pančevo 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
37 Possession % 63
3 Corners 5
14 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
199 Accurate passes 383

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNovi PazarDrawŽelezničar Pančevo
Model29.3%29.8%40.8%
Market29.7%27.2%43.1%
Final29.6%27.8%42.5%
Edge-0.4%+2.7%-2.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Novi Pazar ↓ / Železničar Pan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo expected goals

Novi Pazar 1.09
Železničar Pančevo 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.43

Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo attack and defence ratings

Novi Pazar

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Železničar Pančevo

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo: result vs prediction

Novi Pazar 2 – 0 Železničar Pančevo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Železničar Pančevo 42.5% 2.35 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Novi Pazar29.6%
Draw27.8%
Železničar Pančevo42.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.3%
No49.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.5%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)70.4%
Handicap -1Železničar Pančevo win19.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-110.5%
0-010.1%

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo stats

Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Novi Pazar record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Železničar Pančevo record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Novi Pazar wins 2Draws 2Železničar Pančevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Novi PazarŽelezničar PančevoSerbia Super Liga2-2
2026-04-04Železničar PančevoNovi PazarSerbia Super Liga2-0
2025-11-02Novi PazarŽelezničar PančevoSerbia Super Liga1-0
2025-03-17Novi PazarŽelezničar PančevoSuper Liga3-1
2024-10-26Železničar PančevoNovi PazarSuper Liga0-1
2024-05-18Železničar PančevoNovi PazarSuper Liga3-1
2024-02-10Železničar PančevoNovi PazarSuper Liga2-2
2023-11-01Železničar PančevoNovi PazarCup0-1
2023-08-27Novi PazarŽelezničar PančevoSuper Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 27.2%, away 43.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.82 3.40 2.26
1xBet 3.40 3.58 2.09
Bet365 3.40 3.50 2.00
BetVictor 3.10 3.00 1.83
Betano 3.05 3.30 2.12
Betfair 3.10 3.50 2.10
Dafabet 3.05 3.40 2.18
Marathonbet 2.98 3.32 2.11
Pinnacle 2.95 3.36 2.20
SBO 2.74 3.02 2.10
Superbet 2.47 3.20 2.75
William Hill 3.10 3.20 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▲ +0.58
X 3.34 ▲ +0.08
2 2.10 ▼ -0.56

8 snapshots recorded, from .