Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva

2 – 0 Full time

18′Bosko Vrastanovic
29′Nemanja Vidojevic
45′Slobodan Sladojević
48′Uros Tegeltija
54′Đorđe Đorđić
62′Clement lhernaultNikola jovanovic
62′Simão PedroSrđan Plavšić
66′Nikša DelibašićVladimir Rakić
70′Aleksa KuljaninLuka Adžić
70′kristian sekularacDavorin Tošić
74′Davorin Tošić
75′Đorđe ĐorđićJakša Jevremović
75′mitar ergelasUroš Blagojević
79′Darko TerzićUros Drezgic
79′Igor RistivojevićDanilo Knežević
85′Davorin Tošić

Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar MladostReferee: D. Jeknic

Železničar Pančevo 63%
Draw 23%
Macva 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

32 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 1
71 Possession % 29
9 Corners 0
14 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 3
1 Saves 9
467 Accurate passes 201

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Železničar Pančevo vs Macva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŽelezničar PančevoDrawMacva
Model50.7%29.9%19.4%
Market67.0%20.6%12.4%
Final62.9%22.9%14.2%
Edge-16.3%+9.3%+7.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Železničar Pančevo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.77.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Železničar Pan ↓ / Macva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 15% 14% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Železničar Pančevo and Macva expected goals

Železničar Pančevo 1.40
Macva 0.77

Total expected goals: 2.18

Železničar Pančevo and Macva attack and defence ratings

Železničar Pančevo

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Macva

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva: result vs prediction

Železničar Pančevo 2 – 0 Macva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Železničar Pančevo 62.9% 1.59 -16.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.8% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Železničar Pančevo62.9%
Draw22.9%
Macva14.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.2%
Under 2.562.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.9%
No58.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.8%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)37.1%
Handicap -1Železničar Pančevo win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss49.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.7%
1-113.5%
0-012.6%

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva stats

Železničar Pančevo and Macva recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Železničar Pančevo and Macva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Železničar Pančevo record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Macva record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Železničar Pančevo wins 1Draws 1Macva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-03-27MacvaŽelezničar PančevoPrva Liga2-0
2022-10-26Železničar PančevoMacvaPrva Liga3-1
2021-11-10MacvaŽelezničar PančevoPrva Liga0-1
2021-08-14Železničar PančevoMacvaPrva Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Železničar Pančevo vs Macva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.2%, draw 21.2%, away 13.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.51 3.95 5.70
1xBet 1.36 5.00 8.40
888Sport 1.40 4.00 6.50
Bet365 1.38 4.20 7.50
BetVictor 1.30 3.80 6.00
Betano 1.47 3.85 6.30
Betfair 1.40 4.33 7.00
Dafabet 1.43 4.30 6.80
Marathonbet 1.33 4.45 7.50
Pinnacle 1.37 4.52 7.15
Superbet 1.44 4.25 6.40
William Hill 1.36 4.40 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.19
X 4.43 ▲ +0.53
2 7.33 ▲ +1.58

8 snapshots recorded, from .