Serbia Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Zemun
vs
Radnik Surdulica
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Vukasin Bogdanovic | ||
| 17′ | Đorđe Petrović | ||
| 29′ | Uros Lazic | ||
| 40′ | Mladen ŽivkovićMarko Knezevic | ||
| 45′ | Luka JovanovićEmmanuel Quarshie | ||
| 45′ | nemanja belakovicGodswill Vadze | ||
| 58′ | Marko Saricnovak petrusic | ||
| 64′ | Dimitrije Tabakovićnemanja kalat | ||
| 64′ | Đorđe PetrovićUros Ljubomirac | ||
| 65′ | Aleksandar PejovićAyouba Kosiah | ||
| 67′ | Martin Novakovic | ||
| 74′ | sasa knezevic | ||
| 79′ | Vukasin BogdanovicLuka Žorić | ||
| 79′ | Djordje JovanovicRyonosuke Ohori | ||
| 80′ | Aleksandar kadijevic | ||
| 81′ | Uros Lazic | ||
| 82′ | Luka Žorić | ||
| 87′ | Ayouba Kosiah |
Zemun
27%
Draw
30%
Radnik Surdulica
43%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 31 | Possession % | 69 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 219 | Accurate passes | 447 |
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
| Probability | Zemun | Draw | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 31.7% | 42.5% |
| Market | 27.9% | 29.0% | 43.1% |
| Final | 27.4% | 29.7% | 43.0% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +2.7% | -0.7% |
Why Radnik Surdulica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Zemun and Radnik Surdulica expected goals
Zemun
0.91
Radnik Surdulica
1.23
Total expected goals: 2.14
Zemun and Radnik Surdulica attack and defence ratings
Zemun
Attack
0.55 -45%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Radnik Surdulica
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica: result vs prediction
Zemun 1 – 1 Radnik Surdulica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnik Surdulica | 43.0% | 2.33 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemun | 27.4% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Radnik Surdulica | 43.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnik Surdulica win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica stats
Zemun and Radnik Surdulica recent form
| Zemun |
LLLLLL |
| Radnik Surdulica |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zemun and Radnik Surdulica going into this match
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
Radnik Surdulica record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Zemun wins
2Draws
4Radnik Surdulica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Zemun | Radnik Surdulica | Prva Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Radnik Surdulica | Zemun | Prva Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-23 | Radnik Surdulica | Zemun | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-11 | Zemun | Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2018-12-01 | Zemun | Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2018-08-04 | Radnik Surdulica | Zemun | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2018-05-05 | Radnik Surdulica | Zemun | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2017-12-09 | Zemun | Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2017-08-20 | Radnik Surdulica | Zemun | Super Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.9%, draw 28.9%, away 43.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.12 |
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.29 | 2.19 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 2.90 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.12 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 3.08 | 2.13 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 2.91 | 2.09 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.25 ▲ +0.08
X
3.12 ▼ -0.26
2
2.10 —
10 snapshots recorded, from .