Serbia Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
IMT Novi Beograd
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Vasilije Kostov | ||
| 44′ | Iván Martos | ||
| 56′ | Muhammed Cham SaracevicTomas·Handel | ||
| 65′ | Vasilije KostovKristiyan Balov | ||
| 65′ | Mirko IvanićMahmudu Bajo | ||
| 78′ | Bamba DiengMarko Arnautović | ||
| 78′ | Osman BukariVladimir Lucic | ||
| 82′ | Djordje RadivojevicNaum Perovic | ||
| 86′ | Julián DelmásVladimir Radocaj | ||
| 88′ | Vladimir Radocaj | ||
| 90′ | Stefan ŠapićAndrej Milanović | ||
| 90′ | Aleksa MitićLazar Cvijetic |
IMT Novi Beograd
17%
Draw
21%
FK Crvena Zvezda
62%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 6 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 218 | Accurate passes | 545 |
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Probability | IMT Novi Beograd | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 34.3% | 28.2% |
| Market | 10.7% | 16.5% | 72.8% |
| Final | 17.4% | 21.0% | 61.6% |
| Edge | +26.8% | +17.8% | -44.5% |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
IMT Novi Beograd
1.04
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.87
Total expected goals: 1.90
IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings
IMT Novi Beograd
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.57 -43%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result vs prediction
IMT Novi Beograd 0 – 1 FK Crvena Zvezda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 61.6% | 1.62 | -44.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 17.4% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 61.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.7% |
| No | 61.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 10.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 71.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 14.1% |
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats
IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
| IMT Novi Beograd |
DWLDLW |
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IMT Novi Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda going into this match
IMT Novi Beograd record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
0IMT Novi Beograd wins
0Draws
8FK Crvena Zvezda wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | IMT Novi Beograd | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | FK Crvena Zvezda | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 6-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | FK Crvena Zvezda | IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | IMT Novi Beograd | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-03 | FK Crvena Zvezda | IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-28 | IMT Novi Beograd | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-03-30 | FK Crvena Zvezda | IMT Novi Beograd | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2020-07-16 | FK Crvena Zvezda | IMT Novi Beograd | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.1%, draw 17.8%, away 71.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.75 | 4.60 | 1.38 |
| 1xBet | 11.90 | 7.09 | 1.21 |
| Bet365 | 11.00 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 8.00 | 4.85 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 9.90 | 5.95 | 1.19 |
| Pinnacle | 8.00 | 6.25 | 1.24 |
| SBO | 6.76 | 4.62 | 1.29 |
| Unibet | 5.40 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.50 ▲ +1.00
X
5.50 ▲ +0.70
2
1.25 ▼ -0.08
12 snapshots recorded, from .