Serbia Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Železničar Pančevo
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Aleksa Kuljanin | ||
| 13′ | Miloš Veljković | ||
| 43′ | Nemanja Vidojevic | ||
| 45′ | stefan gudelj | ||
| 45′ | Mirko Milikic | ||
| 52′ | M. Stevanović | ||
| 59′ | Mahmudu BajoTimi Elsnik | ||
| 64′ | Aleksa KuljaninSrđan Plavšić | ||
| 71′ | Miloš Veljković | ||
| 74′ | Muhammed Cham SaracevicTomas·Handel | ||
| 74′ | Clement lhernaultNikola jovanovic | ||
| 74′ | Osman BukariLoizos Loizou | ||
| 82′ | Vladimir LucicMirko Ivanić | ||
| 82′ | Bamba DiengAleksandar Katai | ||
| 87′ | Nikola jovanovic | ||
| 87′ | Srđan Plavšić | ||
| 88′ | Kwaku KarikariDavid Akpan Ankeye | ||
| 88′ | Simão PedroMamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo | ||
| 89′ | Loizos Loizou |
Železničar Pančevo
17%
Draw
23%
FK Crvena Zvezda
60%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 291 | Accurate passes | 442 |
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Probability | Železničar Pančevo | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 30.1% | 42.0% |
| Market | 13.6% | 20.4% | 66.0% |
| Final | 17.2% | 22.8% | 60.0% |
| Edge | +14.4% | +9.7% | -24.0% |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Železničar Pančevo and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
Železničar Pančevo
1.04
FK Crvena Zvezda
1.33
Total expected goals: 2.37
Železničar Pančevo and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings
Železničar Pančevo
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.91 -9%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result vs prediction
Železničar Pančevo 1 – 2 FK Crvena Zvezda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 60.0% | 1.67 | -24.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 17.2% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 60.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats
Železničar Pančevo and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
| Železničar Pančevo |
WLWLDD |
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Železničar Pančevo and FK Crvena Zvezda going into this match
Železničar Pančevo record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Železničar Pančevo wins
1Draws
6FK Crvena Zvezda wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga | 7-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-27 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.6%, draw 20.4%, away 66.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.90 | 5.36 | 1.35 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 3.75 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 4.30 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.37 |
| Pinnacle | 6.62 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.35 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
6.62 ▲ +0.29
X
4.40 ▼ -0.03
2
1.36 ▼ -0.03
2 snapshots recorded, from .