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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda

0 – 0 Full time

28′Darko Stojanović
37′Mohammad Abu Fani
60′Loizos LoizouOsman Bukari
60′Kristiyan Balovstefan gudelj
60′Derrick LuckassenKim Ye-geon
60′Aleksandar PejovićMiloš Popović
61′Ryonosuke Ohori
61′Martin DjangarovskiRyonosuke Ohori
69′Mohammad Abu FaniBamba Dieng
71′Vukasin BogdanovicLuka Žorić
79′Darko StojanovićDjordje Jovanovic
79′Kim Ye-geonVladimir Lucic
80′Uros FilipovicUroš Ilić

EFBET Stadion, SurdulicaReferee: A. Stojanovic

Radnik Surdulica 12%
Draw 18%
FK Crvena Zvezda 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
23 Possession % 77
1 Corners 6
19 Fouls 3
0 Offsides 4
4 Saves 2
125 Accurate passes 660

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnik SurdulicaDrawFK Crvena Zvezda
Model21.1%23.6%55.3%
Market9.6%15.8%74.6%
Final12.5%17.8%69.8%
Edge+11.5%+7.7%-19.3%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnik Surduli ↓ / FK Crvena Zvez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals

Radnik Surdulica 1.17
FK Crvena Zvezda 1.99

Total expected goals: 3.16

Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings

Radnik Surdulica

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.19 +19%

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result vs prediction

Radnik Surdulica 0 – 0 FK Crvena Zvezda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 69.8% 1.43 -19.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.5% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnik Surdulica12.5%
Draw17.8%
FK Crvena Zvezda69.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes60.6%
No39.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.2%
12 (either side)82.2%
X2 (draw or away)87.5%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win33.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss44.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats

Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form

newest first
Radnik Surdulica WLWWLD
FK Crvena Zvezda WWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnik Surdulica and FK Crvena Zvezda going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radnik Surdulica record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Crvena Zvezda record

  • They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Radnik Surdulica wins 3Draws 6FK Crvena Zvezda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena ZvezdaSerbia Super Liga0-0
2026-04-05Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena ZvezdaSerbia Super Liga1-2
2025-11-02FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnik SurdulicaSerbia Super Liga1-1
2024-04-07Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga0-2
2023-11-04FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga3-1
2022-11-13Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga1-2
2022-07-29FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga6-0
2021-12-13FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga1-1
2021-10-27Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga2-1
2021-04-21FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnik SurdulicaCup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.8%, draw 15.9%, away 74.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 11.00 6.20 1.19
1xBet 12.80 6.74 1.21
888Sport 9.50 5.75 1.22
Bet365 9.50 5.25 1.27
BetVictor 7.50 4.50 1.18
Betano 8.25 5.30 1.27
Betfair 10.00 6.00 1.22
Dafabet 8.80 5.80 1.27
Marathonbet 10.75 5.65 1.19
Pinnacle 9.43 5.79 1.22
SBO 7.14 4.94 1.25
Superbet 8.00 5.65 1.27
Unibet 8.00 5.10 1.23
William Hill 9.00 5.80 1.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.46 ▼ -0.23
X 5.72 ▲ +0.17
2 1.21 ▼ -0.03

6 snapshots recorded, from .