Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki

3 – 1 Full time

8′Martin Novakovic
23′Vukasin Bogdanovic
31′Zlatan Šehović
33′Uros·Miladinovic
35′Vukasin Bogdanovic
45′Uroš Nikolićkarel mustmaa
45′Strahinja AnđelićL Đorđević
45′Andrej bajovicMarko Docić
51′Marko Docić
63′Đorđe JovanovićAboubacar Cisse
63′Aleksandar PejovićDarko Stojanović
70′Vukasin BogdanovicAyouba Kosiah
77′Stefan RanđelovićLazar Radojičić
77′Darko Stojanović
79′David Stojanovic
90′Tijan Sohna
90′Ayouba Kosiah
90′karel mustmaaAires Tino Nanque

EFBET Stadion, SurdulicaReferee: L. Lukic

Radnik Surdulica 42%
Draw 29%
Cukaricki 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
42 Possession % 58
6 Corners 6
17 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3
5 Saves 1
262 Accurate passes 276

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnik SurdulicaDrawCukaricki
Model41.5%29.3%29.3%
Market42.5%28.8%28.7%
Final42.3%28.9%28.9%
Edge-1.0%+0.5%+0.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnik Surduli ↓ / Cukaricki → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Radnik Surdulica and Cukaricki expected goals

Radnik Surdulica 1.38
Cukaricki 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.50

Radnik Surdulica and Cukaricki attack and defence ratings

Radnik Surdulica

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Cukaricki

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki: result vs prediction

Radnik Surdulica 3 – 1 Cukaricki

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radnik Surdulica 42.3% 2.37 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnik Surdulica42.3%
Draw28.9%
Cukaricki28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.7%
Under 2.554.3%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Radnik Surdulica win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-010.0%
0-09.5%

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki stats

Radnik Surdulica and Cukaricki recent form

newest first
Radnik Surdulica LWWLDD
Cukaricki LLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnik Surdulica and Cukaricki going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radnik Surdulica record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cukaricki record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Radnik Surdulica wins 5Draws 4Cukaricki wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18CukarickiRadnik SurdulicaSerbia Super Liga2-2
2025-12-13CukarickiRadnik SurdulicaSerbia Super Liga1-1
2025-08-09Radnik SurdulicaCukarickiSerbia Super Liga3-1
2024-02-09Radnik SurdulicaCukarickiSuper Liga0-3
2023-08-27CukarickiRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga0-0
2023-05-04Radnik SurdulicaCukarickiCup0-1
2023-03-05CukarickiRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga1-0
2022-09-05Radnik SurdulicaCukarickiSuper Liga0-4
2022-03-07Radnik SurdulicaCukarickiSuper Liga0-0
2021-09-27CukarickiRadnik SurdulicaSuper Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 28.7%, away 28.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.16 3.25 3.10
1xBet 2.22 3.33 3.32
Bet365 2.15 3.40 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 2.90 2.88
Betano 2.15 3.15 3.15
Betfair 2.15 3.40 3.20
Dafabet 2.14 3.25 3.30
Marathonbet 2.10 3.16 3.15
Pinnacle 2.14 3.18 3.22
Superbet 2.15 3.20 3.30
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.15
X 3.17 ▼ -0.13
2 3.17 ▲ +0.17

10 snapshots recorded, from .