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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS

1 – 0 Full time

4′Bojan Kovačević
12′V. Tasovski
21′Issah Abass
31′Filip Žunić
36′Issah Abass
36′Issah Abass
41′Milan Joksimović
46′M. JoksimovicV. Jovanovic
46′A. ShestyukS. Velickovic
46′D. PetrovicD. Jovanovic
64′Nikola Andrić
65′D. KrajisnikI. Mustapha
66′John MaryP. Bojic
66′F. ZunicV. Markovic
66′M. TodosijevicJ. Ciric
79′Dušan Jovanović
90′V. TasovskiN. Radic
90′R. MilosavljevicM. Mijailovic
90′U. VitasM. Rosevic

Referee: P. Ilic

Mladost Lucani 37%
Draw 31%
Radnicki NIS 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
5 Corners 6
17 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 1
5 Saves 6
286 Accurate passes 329

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost LucaniDrawRadnicki NIS
Model48.3%33.0%18.7%
Market33.4%30.7%35.9%
Final37.1%31.3%31.6%
Edge+14.9%+2.3%-17.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Mladost Lucani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.64.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mladost Lucani below the model: +14.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost Lucani ↓ / Radnicki NIS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 9% 1 18% 13% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Mladost Lucani and Radnicki NIS expected goals

Mladost Lucani 1.20
Radnicki NIS 0.64

Total expected goals: 1.85

Mladost Lucani and Radnicki NIS attack and defence ratings

Mladost Lucani

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Radnicki NIS

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS: result vs prediction

Mladost Lucani 1 – 0 Radnicki NIS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mladost Lucani 37.1% 2.69 +14.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.7% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost Lucani37.1%
Draw31.3%
Radnicki NIS31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.2%
Under 2.571.8%
Both teams to scoreYes34.5%
No65.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Mladost Lucani win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)26.1%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.7%
0-017.0%
1-113.5%

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS stats

Mladost Lucani and Radnicki NIS recent form

newest first
Mladost Lucani LWWDDD
Radnicki NIS DLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost Lucani and Radnicki NIS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mladost Lucani record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Radnicki NIS record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Mladost Lucani wins 3Draws 5Radnicki NIS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga1-0
2025-11-29Mladost LucaniRadnicki NISSerbia Super Liga2-1
2025-07-26Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga3-1
2025-03-16Mladost LucaniRadnicki NISSuper Liga1-1
2024-10-27Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSuper Liga1-1
2024-03-30Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSuper Liga3-0
2023-10-22Mladost LucaniRadnicki NISSuper Liga1-2
2023-04-30Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSuper Liga1-2
2023-02-04Radnicki NISMladost LucaniSuper Liga2-1
2022-08-06Mladost LucaniRadnicki NISSuper Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NIS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 30.4%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.10 2.62
1xBet 2.81 3.14 2.65
Bet365 2.75 3.20 2.55
BetVictor 2.45 2.80 2.30
Betano 2.77 2.95 2.50
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.60
Dafabet 2.95 3.00 2.46
Marathonbet 2.66 2.97 2.51
Pinnacle 2.73 2.94 2.60
Superbet 2.95 3.00 2.47
Unibet 2.60 2.95 2.43
William Hill 2.70 2.90 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.71 ▲ +0.26
X 2.96 ▼ -0.25
2 2.53 ▼ -0.35

11 snapshots recorded, from .