Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani

2 – 0 Full time

37′J. Tiendrebeogo
46′V. KijevcaninF. Zunic
61′Nikola Glišić
64′D. JovancicV. Markovic
65′M. TodosijevicP. Bojic
75′L. CvijeticT. Cojic
76′I. KebeC. Keita
77′J. CiricD. Djokic
80′N. GlisicL. Lukovic
84′C. Keita
85′M. JoksimovicJohn Mary
90′V. RadocajD. Radivojevic
90′J. TiendrebeogoD. Akrofi

Referee: P. Janjus

IMT Novi Beograd 46%
Draw 31%
Mladost Lucani 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 0
57 Possession % 43
4 Corners 0
18 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
0 Saves 3
386 Accurate passes 289

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIMT Novi BeogradDrawMladost Lucani
Model37.0%38.0%25.0%
Market49.7%28.0%22.3%
Final46.5%30.5%23.0%
Edge-12.7%+10.0%+2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why IMT Novi Beograd

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IMT Novi Beogr ↓ / Mladost Lucani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 13% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 48%
3+ goals 21%
No goals 22%

IMT Novi Beograd and Mladost Lucani expected goals

IMT Novi Beograd 0.88
Mladost Lucani 0.68

Total expected goals: 1.57

IMT Novi Beograd and Mladost Lucani attack and defence ratings

IMT Novi Beograd

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Mladost Lucani

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani: result vs prediction

IMT Novi Beograd 2 – 0 Mladost Lucani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IMT Novi Beograd 46.5% 2.15 -12.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.2% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score No 69.7% 1.43 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IMT Novi Beograd46.5%
Draw30.5%
Mladost Lucani23.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.8%
Under 2.579.2%
Both teams to scoreYes30.3%
No69.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.0%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1IMT Novi Beograd win13.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.1%
1-017.2%
1-113.8%

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani stats

IMT Novi Beograd and Mladost Lucani recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IMT Novi Beograd and Mladost Lucani going into this match

league record before kick-off

IMT Novi Beograd record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Mladost Lucani record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0IMT Novi Beograd wins 2Draws 1Mladost Lucani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19IMT Novi BeogradMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga1-1
2025-11-23IMT Novi BeogradMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga1-3
2025-07-20Mladost LucaniIMT Novi BeogradSerbia Super Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 28.0%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.25 4.20
1xBet 1.84 3.26 4.01
Bet365 1.85 3.40 4.33
Betano 1.83 3.25 4.10
Betfair 1.90 3.30 4.20
Marathonbet 1.82 3.26 3.94
Unibet 1.88 3.05 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.01
X 3.26 ▼ -0.04
2 4.10 ▼ -0.10

7 snapshots recorded, from .