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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda

0 – 2 Full time

23′Matej Strika
36′Vasilije Bakić
46′A. KataiM. Ivanic
50′Milan Spremo
51′Dimitrije Tabakovic
57′M. Ivanic
62′D. PetrovicA. Milosevic
62′M. MeskhiM. Jokic
64′Stefan Gudelj
64′M. StrikaM. Ristic
65′T. HandelL. Loizou
71′D. TabakovicG. Vadze
71′N. PetrusicN. Kalat
79′N. BelakovicA. Kadijevic
79′D. SaricKim Ye-geon
79′V. LucicM. Cham
87′Matej Gaštarov
90′M. Abu Fani

Zemun Stadium, BelgradeReferee: S. Jeknic

Zemun 5%
Draw 12%
FK Crvena Zvezda 84%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 27
3 Shots on target 12
35 Possession % 65
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
10 Saves 3
246 Accurate passes 547

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZemunDrawFK Crvena Zvezda
Model6.0%17.2%76.8%
Market4.1%10.0%86.0%
Final4.6%11.8%83.7%
Edge+2.0%+7.2%-9.2%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zemun ↓ / FK Crvena Zvez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 11% 13% 9% 8% 1 10% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 6%

Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals

Zemun 0.76
FK Crvena Zvezda 2.14

Total expected goals: 2.90

Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings

Zemun

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.24 +24%

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result vs prediction

Zemun 0 – 2 FK Crvena Zvezda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 83.7% 1.20 -9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 95.4% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 FK Crvena Zvezda win 45.0% 2.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zemun4.6%
Draw11.8%
FK Crvena Zvezda83.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.6%
No63.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)16.3%
12 (either side)88.2%
X2 (draw or away)95.4%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win45.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss31.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-216.0%
0-113.3%
0-312.1%

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats

Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form

newest first
Zemun LLLLLD
FK Crvena Zvezda LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zemun and FK Crvena Zvezda going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zemun record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda record

  • They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zemun vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 4.1%, draw 10.0%, away 86.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 23.00 7.20 1.10
1xBet 24.00 9.80 1.04
Bet365 19.00 9.00 1.10
Betano 16.50 7.50 1.10
Betfair 23.00 10.00 1.08
Marathonbet 24.00 9.80 1.04

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 23.00 —
X 9.40 ▼ -0.40
2 1.09 ▲ +0.01

7 snapshots recorded, from .