Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan

3 – 1 Full time

Referee: Simovic Novak, Serbia

Mladost Lucani 27%
Draw 27%
FK Partizan 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost LucaniDrawFK Partizan
Model41.9%32.2%25.9%
Market22.7%25.5%51.7%
Final27.5%27.2%45.3%
Edge+19.2%+6.7%-25.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Partizan

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost Lucani ↓ / FK Partizan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 10% 1 14% 15% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan expected goals

Mladost Lucani 1.20
FK Partizan 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.09

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan attack and defence ratings

Mladost Lucani

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.65 -35%

FK Partizan

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan: result vs prediction

Mladost Lucani 3 – 1 FK Partizan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Partizan 45.3% 2.21 -25.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.3% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost Lucani27.5%
Draw27.2%
FK Partizan45.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.7%
Under 2.565.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.4%
No57.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.7%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)72.5%
Handicap -1FK Partizan win9.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss74.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-013.7%
1-013.6%

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan stats

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan recent form

newest first
Mladost Lucani WDDDDW
FK Partizan LLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost Lucani and FK Partizan going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mladost Lucani record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

FK Partizan record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Mladost Lucani wins 1Draws 1FK Partizan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Mladost LucaniFK PartizanSerbia Super Liga1-1
2025-10-24FK PartizanMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost Lucani vs FK Partizan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.6%, draw 25.7%, away 51.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.30 3.50 1.75
1xBet 4.00 3.64 1.74
888Sport 4.20 3.40 1.75
Bet365 4.20 3.70 1.75
BetVictor 3.50 3.20 1.67
Betano 3.95 3.45 1.80
Betfair 4.10 3.80 1.75
Dafabet 4.00 3.60 1.82
Marathonbet 3.94 3.64 1.72
Pinnacle 4.09 3.56 1.76
SBO 3.53 3.22 1.81
Superbet 4.00 3.55 1.82
Unibet 4.00 3.45 1.67
William Hill 3.90 3.30 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.00 ▲ +0.05
X 3.55 ▲ +0.05
2 1.75 ▼ -0.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .