Novi Pazar
vs
Zemun
2 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Adem Ljajić | ||
| 27′ | Ognjen IlicĐorđe Petrović | ||
| 45′ | zarko bogdanovicMilan Jokić | ||
| 45′ | Dimitrije Tabakovićnemanja kalat | ||
| 48′ | Vasilije Bakić | ||
| 54′ | Aleksandar kadijevic | ||
| 61′ | Fejsal MulicHaris Kadric | ||
| 63′ | Aleksandar Miljković | ||
| 64′ | Tomislav Dadic | ||
| 69′ | Marko Saricnovak petrusic | ||
| 70′ | Aleksandar Miljković | ||
| 74′ | Dominic SadiJohnson Agwom Dauda | ||
| 74′ | Adem LjajićSkima Togbe | ||
| 80′ | Mykhailo MeskhiGodswill Vadze | ||
| 82′ | Milan Jokić | ||
| 86′ | Ivan DavidovicNikola Stanković | ||
| 89′ | Tomislav Dadic | ||
| 90′ | Đorđe Petrović | ||
| 90′ | Đorđe Petrović |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 352 | Accurate passes | 295 |
Novi Pazar vs Zemun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Novi Pazar vs Zemun
| Probability | Novi Pazar | Draw | Zemun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.9% | 27.7% | 13.4% |
| Market | 68.1% | 19.8% | 12.1% |
| Final | 65.8% | 21.8% | 12.4% |
| Edge | -9.2% | +7.9% | +1.3% |
Why Novi Pazar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Novi Pazar and Zemun expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Novi Pazar and Zemun attack and defence ratings
Novi Pazar
Zemun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Novi Pazar vs Zemun: result vs prediction
Novi Pazar 2 – 2 Zemun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Novi Pazar vs Zemun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 65.8% | 1.52 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novi Pazar | 65.8% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Zemun | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Novi Pazar win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.0% |
| 2-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Novi Pazar vs Zemun stats
Novi Pazar and Zemun recent form
| DWDLWL | |
| DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Novi Pazar and Zemun going into this match
Novi Pazar record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
Novi Pazar vs Zemun head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-02 | Zemun | Novi Pazar | Prva Liga | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-15 | Novi Pazar | Zemun | Prva Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Novi Pazar vs Zemun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.1%, draw 19.8%, away 12.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.33 | 8.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.30 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 4.55 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 4.66 | 7.48 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .