Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Novi Pazar vs Zemun

2 – 2 Full time

15′Adem Ljajić
27′Ognjen IlicĐorđe Petrović
45′zarko bogdanovicMilan Jokić
45′Dimitrije Tabakovićnemanja kalat
48′Vasilije Bakić
54′Aleksandar kadijevic
61′Fejsal MulicHaris Kadric
63′Aleksandar Miljković
64′Tomislav Dadic
69′Marko Saricnovak petrusic
70′Aleksandar Miljković
74′Dominic SadiJohnson Agwom Dauda
74′Adem LjajićSkima Togbe
80′Mykhailo MeskhiGodswill Vadze
82′Milan Jokić
86′Ivan DavidovicNikola Stanković
89′Tomislav Dadic
90′Đorđe Petrović
90′Đorđe Petrović

Novi Pazar City Stadium, Novi PazarReferee: Predrag Janjus

Novi Pazar 66%
Draw 22%
Zemun 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
7 Corners 4
19 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 0
2 Saves 5
352 Accurate passes 295

Novi Pazar vs Zemun overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Novi Pazar vs Zemun

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNovi PazarDrawZemun
Model58.9%27.7%13.4%
Market68.1%19.8%12.1%
Final65.8%21.8%12.4%
Edge-9.2%+7.9%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Novi Pazar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Novi Pazar ↓ / Zemun → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 17% 12% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Novi Pazar and Zemun expected goals

Novi Pazar 1.53
Zemun 0.60

Total expected goals: 2.13

Novi Pazar and Zemun attack and defence ratings

Novi Pazar

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Zemun

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Novi Pazar vs Zemun: result vs prediction

Novi Pazar 2 – 2 Zemun

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Novi Pazar vs Zemun markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Novi Pazar 65.8% 1.52 -9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.6% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.1% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Novi Pazar65.8%
Draw21.8%
Zemun12.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%
Both teams to scoreYes36.6%
No63.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.6%
12 (either side)78.2%
X2 (draw or away)34.2%
Handicap -1Novi Pazar win32.1%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss41.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.0%
2-013.9%
0-012.9%

Novi Pazar vs Zemun stats

Novi Pazar and Zemun recent form

newest first
Novi Pazar DWDLWL
Zemun DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Novi Pazar and Zemun going into this match

league record before kick-off

Novi Pazar record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zemun record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.

Novi Pazar vs Zemun head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Novi Pazar wins 1Draws 0Zemun wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-03-02ZemunNovi PazarPrva Liga1-1
2019-09-15Novi PazarZemunPrva Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Novi Pazar vs Zemun odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.1%, draw 19.8%, away 12.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 5.33 8.80
Bet365 1.38 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.29 3.90 6.00
Betano 1.39 4.30 6.90
Betfair 1.33 5.00 8.50
Marathonbet 1.30 4.55 7.70
Pinnacle 1.35 4.66 7.48
William Hill 1.30 4.60 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.11
X 4.57 ▲ +0.32
2 7.49 ▲ +0.84

10 snapshots recorded, from .