Serbia Super Liga · 2026-09-19T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 10

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923

3 – 5 Full time

6′			Dognimani Yacouba Silue
10′			Mohamed Cisse
21′			Dognimani Yacouba Silue
27′			Edmund Addo
34′			Uros·Sremcevic
38′			Ilija·Babic
43′			hassan hilo
45′			Tayrell·WouterJ. Šljivić
46′			Uros·Sremcevic
65′			Miloš Ristić
65′			Issa·BahJovan Živković
66′			Miloš RistićJovan Ilic
66′			andrej pavlovic
68′			andrej pavlovic
72′			Bojica NikčevićMićo Kuzmanović
75′			David Buchta
80′			David BuchtaSemir Alic
80′			Uros·SremcevicAleksa Marusic
81′			Tjay De BarrĐ. Ranković
81′			Edmund AddoEthan Hoard
84′			Semir Alic

Omladinski stadion, BelgradeReferee: Milan Mitic

OFK Beograd

29%

Draw

28%

Radnicki 1923

43%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

14	Shots	18
6	Shots on target	7
54	Possession %	46
3	Corners	4
15	Fouls	20
2	Offsides	1
2	Saves	3
259	Accurate passes	236

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	OFK Beograd	Draw	Radnicki 1923
Model	18.7%	28.0%	53.3%
Market	32.6%	27.5%	39.9%
Final	29.1%	27.6%	43.3%
Edge	-13.9%	+0.5%	+13.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Radnicki 1923

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.82.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Radnicki 1923 below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

42%

No goals

11%

OFK Beograd and Radnicki 1923 expected goals

OFK Beograd

0.82

Radnicki 1923

1.55

Total expected goals: 2.37

OFK Beograd and Radnicki 1923 attack and defence ratings

OFK Beograd

Attack

0.86 -14%

Defence

1.20 +20%

Radnicki 1923

Attack

1.15 +15%

Defence

0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923: result vs prediction

OFK Beograd 3 – 5 Radnicki 1923

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Vojvodina vs IMT Novi Beograd — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Novi Pazar vs Zemun — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan · 2026-09-19
Macva v Mladost Lucani — match page · 2026-09-20
FK Crvena Zvezda v Radnicki NIS — match page · 2026-09-20
Železničar Pančevo v Cukaricki — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

OFK Beograd, previous: Radnicki NIS vs OFK Beograd: odds and pick
OFK Beograd, next: Mladost Lucani – OFK Beograd, 2026-10-12
Radnicki 1923, previous: Radnicki 1923 – Mladost Lucani, 2026-09-12
Radnicki 1923, next: Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Radnicki 1923	43.3%	2.31	+13.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	57.9%	1.73	—	—
Both teams to score	No	54.8%	1.83	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	46.7%	2.14	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	OFK Beograd	29.1%
	Draw	27.6%
	Radnicki 1923	43.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	42.1%
	Under 2.5	57.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	45.2%
	No	54.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	56.7%
	12 (either side)	72.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	70.9%
Handicap -1	Radnicki 1923 win	28.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.7%
	Loss	46.7%
Correct score (top 3)	0-1	13.3%
	1-1	13.1%
	0-2	11.2%

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 stats

OFK Beograd and Radnicki 1923 recent form

newest first

OFK Beograd	LDLWLD
Radnicki 1923	WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OFK Beograd and Radnicki 1923 going into this match

league record before kick-off

OFK Beograd record

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Radnicki 1923 record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3OFK Beograd wins 2Draws 3Radnicki 1923 wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-01	Radnicki 1923	OFK Beograd	Friendlies Clubs	1-2
2026-03-09	OFK Beograd	Radnicki 1923	Serbia Super Liga	0-0
2025-10-04	Radnicki 1923	OFK Beograd	Serbia Super Liga	0-2
2025-04-12	OFK Beograd	Radnicki 1923	Super Liga	3-0
2025-02-03	Radnicki 1923	OFK Beograd	Super Liga	2-0
2024-08-25	OFK Beograd	Radnicki 1923	Super Liga	3-5
2024-02-03	Radnicki 1923	OFK Beograd	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2021-02-10	Radnicki 1923	OFK Beograd	Friendlies Clubs	3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 27.5%, away 39.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.91	3.50	2.36
Bet365	2.88	3.50	2.30
BetVictor	2.55	3.00	2.10
Betano	2.77	3.30	2.27
Betfair	2.80	3.50	2.30
Marathonbet	2.74	3.30	2.22
Pinnacle	2.82	3.31	2.30
William Hill	2.75	3.20	2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.79 ▲ +0.29

X 3.30 —

2 2.27 ▼ -0.43

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-14T16:10:02Z.