Radnicki 1923
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Crvena Zvezda
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Probability | Radnicki 1923 | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.2% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| Market | 16.0% | 21.4% | 62.6% |
| Final | 21.8% | 23.3% | 54.9% |
| Edge | +23.2% | +7.5% | -30.7% |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda match preview
Radnicki 1923 faces FK Crvena Zvezda in the Serbia Super Liga with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of an FK Crvena Zvezda victory at 57%, while Radnicki 1923 has a 20% chance of winning and a 23% chance for a draw. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams have shown competitive recent form, with Radnicki 1923 recording three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while FK Crvena Zvezda has achieved five wins and one draw in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Radnicki 1923 is projected to score 1.37, compared to FK Crvena Zvezda's 1.21. The probabilities suggest a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. Historically, FK Crvena Zvezda has won both of their last encounters with Radnicki 1923, indicating a favorable trend for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings
Radnicki 1923
FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 54.9% | 1.82 | -30.7% | 1.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 21.8% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 54.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 68.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | |
| 0-0 | 8.8% |
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
| Radnicki 1923 |
WWDDWW |
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda season so far
Radnicki 1923 record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Radnicki 1923 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Radnicki 1923 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga | 6-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Radnicki 1923 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-17 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga | 5-0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Radnicki 1923 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 3-4 |
| 2023-05-20 | Radnicki 1923 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-10 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.0%, draw 21.4%, away 62.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.34 | 4.66 | 1.47 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 4.20 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 5.70 | 4.10 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.50 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 5.85 | 4.30 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 5.77 | 4.23 | 1.47 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .