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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda

0 – 3 Full time

23′Muhammed Cham SaracevicOsman Bukari
29′Miloš Ristić
45′Mihailo Ristić
45′Issa·BahJovan Ilic
48′Bamba Dieng
58′stefan gudelj
61′hassan hiloV. Tomić
61′Miloš RistićMohamed Mezghrani
61′Jovan ŽivkovićSemir Alic
63′Derrick LuckassenFranklin Tebo Uchenna
79′Bamba DiengMarko Arnautović
79′Mihailo RistićRade Krunić
79′Matej GashtarovKristiyan Balov
79′Mićo KuzmanovićAsmir Suljić
82′stefan gudelj
88′Marko Arnautović

Čika Dača Stadium, KragujevacReferee: P. Janjus

Radnicki 1923 21%
Draw 23%
FK Crvena Zvezda 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 7
64 Possession % 36
4 Corners 2
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
234 Accurate passes 279

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnicki 1923DrawFK Crvena Zvezda
Model39.3%28.9%31.9%
Market15.4%21.1%63.5%
Final21.4%23.0%55.6%
Edge+6.0%+2.0%-7.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnicki 1923 ↓ / FK Crvena Zvez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals

Radnicki 1923 1.37
FK Crvena Zvezda 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.58

Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings

Radnicki 1923

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.79 -21%

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda: result vs prediction

Radnicki 1923 0 – 3 FK Crvena Zvezda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 55.6% 1.80 -7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.1% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnicki 192321.4%
Draw23.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda55.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.4%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)78.6%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss68.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-09.1%
0-08.8%

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats

Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form

newest first
Radnicki 1923 WWDDWW
FK Crvena Zvezda WWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda going into this match

league record before kick-off

Radnicki 1923 record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Crvena Zvezda record

  • They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Radnicki 1923 wins 1Draws 8FK Crvena Zvezda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Radnicki 1923FK Crvena ZvezdaSerbia Super Liga0-2
2025-09-28FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki 1923Serbia Super Liga2-1
2025-04-23Radnicki 1923FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga4-1
2025-02-08FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki 1923Super Liga6-0
2024-09-01Radnicki 1923FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga0-1
2024-05-12FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki 1923Super Liga3-2
2024-03-17FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki 1923Super Liga5-0
2023-10-08Radnicki 1923FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga3-4
2023-05-20Radnicki 1923FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga1-1
2023-04-10FK Crvena ZvezdaRadnicki 1923Super Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.4%, draw 21.1%, away 63.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.51 4.78 1.45
Bet365 7.00 4.20 1.42
BetVictor 5.00 3.75 1.36
Betano 5.90 4.20 1.44
Betfair 6.50 4.50 1.40
Dafabet 5.80 4.60 1.45
Marathonbet 6.00 4.40 1.38
Pinnacle 5.85 4.48 1.43
SBO 5.42 4.00 1.40
William Hill 5.50 4.20 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.88 ▼ -0.62
X 4.30 ▼ -0.20
2 1.42 ▲ +0.02

14 snapshots recorded, from .