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Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd

0 – 0 Full time

28′Filip Mladenović
60′Aleksandar Varjacic
63′John MaryJovan ciric
68′Edmund Addo
71′Strahinja StojkovićA. Vukičević
77′Branko Jovičić
79′djordje rankovicAleksa Vasilic
81′hameed aderoju
84′vasil tasovskiPetar Bojić
87′hameed aderojuTjay De Barr
90′Branko JovičićTaras Bondarenko

Stadion Mladost, LucaniReferee: L. Lukic

Mladost Lucani 39%
Draw 28%
OFK Beograd 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
2 Corners 7
11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
357 Accurate passes 362

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost LucaniDrawOFK Beograd
Model56.7%23.3%20.0%
Market33.1%29.2%37.7%
Final39.0%27.7%33.2%
Edge+5.9%-1.5%-4.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Mladost Lucani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mladost Lucani below our published probability: +5.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost Lucani ↓ / OFK Beograd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Mladost Lucani and OFK Beograd expected goals

Mladost Lucani 2.02
OFK Beograd 1.14

Total expected goals: 3.15

Mladost Lucani and OFK Beograd attack and defence ratings

Mladost Lucani

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.99 -1%

OFK Beograd

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd: result vs prediction

Mladost Lucani 0 – 0 OFK Beograd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mladost Lucani 39.0% 2.56 +5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.3% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost Lucani39.0%
Draw27.7%
OFK Beograd33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Mladost Lucani win34.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss43.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd stats

Mladost Lucani and OFK Beograd recent form

newest first
Mladost Lucani WLWLWW
OFK Beograd LLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost Lucani and OFK Beograd going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mladost Lucani record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

OFK Beograd record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Mladost Lucani wins 3Draws 2OFK Beograd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01Mladost LucaniOFK BeogradSerbia Super Liga0-0
2025-08-23OFK BeogradMladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga1-1
2025-05-11OFK BeogradMladost LucaniSuper Liga1-0
2024-11-24OFK BeogradMladost LucaniSuper Liga0-0
2024-07-20Mladost LucaniOFK BeogradSuper Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 29.2%, away 37.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.84 3.32 2.51
Bet365 2.75 3.25 2.45
BetVictor 2.50 2.80 2.25
Betano 2.77 3.00 2.45
Betfair 2.75 3.30 2.40
Dafabet 2.80 3.20 2.42
Marathonbet 2.67 3.12 2.36
Pinnacle 2.83 3.00 2.47
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▲ +0.20
X 3.12 ▼ -0.13
2 2.42 ▼ -0.15

16 snapshots recorded, from .