Cukaricki
vs
Macva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cukaricki
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Cukaricki vs Macva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cukaricki vs Macva
| Probability | Cukaricki | Draw | Macva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 30.2% | 23.8% |
| Market | 60.2% | 24.4% | 15.4% |
| Final | 56.7% | 25.9% | 17.5% |
| Edge | -14.2% | +5.7% | +8.5% |
Why Cukaricki
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.91.
Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cukaricki vs Macva match preview
Cukaricki faces Macva in the Serbia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. Cukaricki holds a strong probability of winning at 64%, while a draw is at 22% and Macva at 14%. The expected goals for Cukaricki stand at 1.36 compared to Macva's 0.91, suggesting a potential edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability.
In terms of recent form, Cukaricki has struggled with four losses in their last five matches, recording one win and one draw. Macva's recent performances show two losses, two draws, and one win. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 40%, and both teams scoring is at 46%, indicating a potentially low-scoring encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cukaricki and Macva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Cukaricki and Macva attack and defence ratings
Cukaricki
Macva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cukaricki vs Macva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 56.7% | 1.76 | -14.2% | 1.54 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 56.7% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Macva | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cukaricki win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Cukaricki vs Macva stats
Cukaricki and Macva recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cukaricki and Macva season so far
Cukaricki record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Macva record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Cukaricki vs Macva head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-21 | Macva | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2020-09-26 | Cukaricki | Macva | Super Liga | 4-0 |
| 2020-06-20 | Cukaricki | Macva | Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2019-11-03 | Macva | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2018-12-01 | Macva | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-03 | Cukaricki | Macva | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2018-02-17 | Cukaricki | Macva | Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2017-09-08 | Macva | Cukaricki | Super Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cukaricki vs Macva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 24.4%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.09 | 6.37 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.65 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 3.85 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 3.77 | 5.76 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .