Serbia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Cukaricki vs Macva

2 – 2 Full time

1′Zlatan Šehović
7′Đorđe Jovanović
32′Milan djokovic
36′mitar ergelas
45′Nikša DelibašićMilan Vidakov
45′Uroš BlagojevićNemanja Stevanović
50′Remy Rees-Dottin
57′Marko Docić
57′Milan Vidakov
63′Đorđe ĐorđićVasilije Đurić
63′mitar ergelasstefan colovic
64′Lazar MarkovićL Đorđević
64′Remy Rees-Dottinkarel mustmaa
64′Zlatan ŠehovićA. Ouedraogo
73′Marko Docić
76′Bosko VrastanovicDarko Terzić
77′Đorđe JovanovićNemanja Miletić
78′Nikola Lainović
80′stefan colovic
82′L Đorđević
86′Milan djokovicMilan Pavkov
88′Uros·Miladinovic

FK Čukarički Stadion, BelgradeReferee: D. Nikolic

Cukaricki 57%
Draw 26%
Macva 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
54 Possession % 46
3 Corners 2
18 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
343 Accurate passes 348

Cukaricki vs Macva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cukaricki vs Macva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCukarickiDrawMacva
Model46.0%30.2%23.8%
Market60.2%24.3%15.5%
Final56.6%25.8%17.6%
Edge-3.5%+1.5%+2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cukaricki

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cukaricki ↓ / Macva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Cukaricki and Macva expected goals

Cukaricki 1.36
Macva 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.28

Cukaricki and Macva attack and defence ratings

Cukaricki

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Macva

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cukaricki vs Macva: result vs prediction

Cukaricki 2 – 2 Macva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Cukaricki vs Macva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cukaricki 56.6% 1.77 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 54.2% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cukaricki56.6%
Draw25.8%
Macva17.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes45.8%
No54.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.4%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)43.4%
Handicap -1Cukaricki win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-012.7%
0-011.6%

Cukaricki vs Macva stats

Cukaricki and Macva recent form

newest first
Cukaricki LDLLLW
Macva LLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cukaricki and Macva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cukaricki record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Macva record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Cukaricki vs Macva head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Cukaricki wins 1Draws 1Macva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-03-21MacvaCukarickiSuper Liga1-2
2020-09-26CukarickiMacvaSuper Liga4-0
2020-06-20CukarickiMacvaSuper Liga3-1
2019-11-03MacvaCukarickiSuper Liga0-0
2018-12-01MacvaCukarickiSuper Liga1-0
2018-08-03CukarickiMacvaSuper Liga1-0
2018-02-17CukarickiMacvaSuper Liga2-0
2017-09-08MacvaCukarickiSuper Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cukaricki vs Macva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 24.3%, away 15.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.54 4.09 6.37
Bet365 1.53 3.60 6.50
BetVictor 1.44 3.25 5.00
Betano 1.52 3.65 5.90
Betfair 1.50 4.00 6.00
Dafabet 1.53 4.00 5.80
Marathonbet 1.44 3.85 6.00
Pinnacle 1.53 3.77 5.78
SBO 1.48 3.55 5.32
William Hill 1.50 3.70 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.51 ▲ +0.25
X 3.74 ▼ -1.26
2 5.85 ▼ -5.15

13 snapshots recorded, from .