Serbia Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
FK Partizan
vs
Novi Pazar
1 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Johnson Agwom DaudaKaheim Dixon | ||
| 56′ | Iddrisu BabaMilan aleksic | ||
| 64′ | Aleksandar Miljković | ||
| 68′ | Zubairu IbrahimNikola Cumic | ||
| 68′ | Erik KojzekJeferson Marinho dos Santos | ||
| 68′ | Igor MiladinovicB. Kostić | ||
| 74′ | Adem LjajićFejsal Mulic | ||
| 79′ | Ivan Davidovicstefan malentijevic | ||
| 79′ | Skima TogbeMihajlo Petrovic | ||
| 81′ | Jeferson Marinho dos Santos | ||
| 85′ | Jovan MarinkovicNikola skrobonja | ||
| 87′ | Mario JurčevičMateja Milovanovic | ||
| 89′ | Demba Seck |
FK Partizan
53%
Draw
24%
Novi Pazar
23%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 425 | Accurate passes | 262 |
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
| Probability | FK Partizan | Draw | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 22.9% | 24.4% |
| Market | 53.6% | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| Final | 53.4% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.5% |
Why FK Partizan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.38.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
FK Partizan and Novi Pazar expected goals
FK Partizan
2.07
Novi Pazar
1.38
Total expected goals: 3.45
FK Partizan and Novi Pazar attack and defence ratings
FK Partizan
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Novi Pazar
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar: result vs prediction
FK Partizan 1 – 0 Novi Pazar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Partizan | 53.4% | 1.87 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Partizan | 53.4% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Novi Pazar | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Partizan win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar stats
FK Partizan and Novi Pazar recent form
| FK Partizan |
DLLWWL |
| Novi Pazar |
DDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Partizan and Novi Pazar going into this match
FK Partizan record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Novi Pazar record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
9FK Partizan wins
0Draws
1Novi Pazar wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Serbia Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Novi Pazar | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-09 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Serbia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Novi Pazar | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-21 | Novi Pazar | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 3-4 |
| 2024-04-07 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-06 | Novi Pazar | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-08 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-13 | FK Partizan | Novi Pazar | Super Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 24.2%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.22 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.98 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.53 | 4.01 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.68 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.69 ▲ +0.11
X
3.74 ▼ -0.46
2
4.07 ▼ -0.83
13 snapshots recorded, from .