Zemun
vs
Macva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Macva
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
Zemun vs Macva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zemun vs Macva
| Probability | Zemun | Draw | Macva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 32.0% | 39.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 28.7% | 32.0% | 39.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Macva
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Zemun vs Macva match preview
Zemun faces Macva in the Serbia Super Liga on October 24, 2026, with a forecasted probability of Zemun winning at 29%, while Macva holds a 39% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 32%. Our model suggests the most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Zemun's expected goals are 0.97, compared to Macva's 1.18, indicating a slight advantage for the visitors in offensive potential.
In terms of recent form, Zemun has struggled with six matches resulting in two draws and four losses. Conversely, Macva has shown some resilience, with their last six games yielding one win, two draws, and three losses. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 36%, while both teams scoring stands at 44%, reflecting a potentially low-scoring encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zemun and Macva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Zemun and Macva attack and defence ratings
Zemun
Macva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zemun vs Macva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macva | 39.4% | 2.54 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.3% | 1.40 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemun | 28.7% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Macva | 39.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Macva win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
Zemun vs Macva stats
Zemun and Macva recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zemun and Macva season so far
Zemun record
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
Macva record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.