OFK Beograd
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Crvena Zvezda
0 β 2 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Probability | OFK Beograd | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.3% | 19.5% | 68.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 12.3% | 19.5% | 68.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings
OFK Beograd
FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 68.2% | 1.47 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | 1.14 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.2% | 2.49 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFK Beograd | 12.3% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 68.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 37.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats
OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
| OFK Beograd |
DLLDLW |
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda season so far
OFK Beograd record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 10 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | OFK Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | OFK Beograd | FK Crvena Zvezda | Serbia Super Liga | 3-4 |
| 2025-07-26 | FK Crvena Zvezda | OFK Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 7-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.