Serbia Super Liga Β· Β·Matchday 14

FK Partizan vs Zemun

Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Partizan

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.82.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadion Partizana, Belgrade

FK Partizan 64%
Draw 22%
Zemun 13%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FK Partizan wins
64%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

FK Partizan vs Zemun overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Partizan vs Zemun

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK PartizanDrawZemun
Model64.1%22.5%13.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final64.1%22.5%13.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why FK Partizan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.82.

FK Partizan vs Zemun match preview

FK Partizan enters this match against Zemun with a 64% probability of winning, while Zemun has a 13% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of FK Partizan, occurring with a 12% probability. The expected goals for FK Partizan stand at 2.00, compared to Zemun's 0.82, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.

Recent form shows FK Partizan struggling with two losses in their last three matches, while Zemun has also faced challenges, winning only one of their last six games. The head-to-head record from their last encounter shows FK Partizan with no wins, one draw, and Zemun with no wins. With a confidence grade of C, the match could be competitive, but FK Partizan is favored to take the points.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Partizan ↓ / Zemun β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

FK Partizan and Zemun expected goals

FK Partizan 2.00
Zemun 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.82

FK Partizan and Zemun attack and defence ratings

FK Partizan

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Zemun

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Serbia Super Liga

Before and after this match

FK Partizan vs Zemun markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Partizan 64.1% 1.56 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 50.7% 1.97 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 FK Partizan win 40.3% 2.48 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Partizan64.1%
Draw22.5%
Zemun13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.3%
No50.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)35.9%
Handicap -1FK Partizan win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss35.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.9%
1-011.0%
1-110.7%

FK Partizan vs Zemun stats

FK Partizan and Zemun recent form

newest first
FK Partizan LLWDLL
Zemun WLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Partizan and Zemun season so far

league record

FK Partizan record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zemun record

  • They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 12 matches.

FK Partizan vs Zemun head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FK Partizan wins 1Draws 0Zemun wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18ZemunFK PartizanSerbia Super Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Partizan vs Zemun odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FK Partizan Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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