Radnicki NIS
vs
FK Partizan
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Partizan
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.16.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β FK Partizan is the favourite, not a value bet.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan
| Probability | Radnicki NIS | Draw | FK Partizan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.5% | 28.2% | 43.4% |
| Market | 23.9% | 25.2% | 50.9% |
| Final | 25.0% | 25.9% | 49.0% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
Why FK Partizan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.16.
Best available price on the pick: 1.84, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (our 49.0% Γ 1.84 β 1).
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan match preview
Radnicki NIS faces FK Partizan in the Serbia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. The probabilities indicate FK Partizan has a 49% chance of winning, while Radnicki NIS stands at 25% and a draw at 26%. The expected goals suggest Radnicki NIS will score 1.16 and FK Partizan 1.48, pointing towards a potentially close match. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Radnicki NIS has struggled with four consecutive losses followed by a win and another loss, while FK Partizan has also faced challenges with two losses, a win, a draw, and two more losses. Historically, in their last nine encounters, Radnicki NIS has secured one win, while FK Partizan has won five times and three matches ended in draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan attack and defence ratings
Radnicki NIS
FK Partizan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Partizan | 49.0% | 2.04 | -1.9% | 1.84 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki NIS | 25.0% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| FK Partizan | 49.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Partizan win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.1% |
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan stats
Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan recent form
| Radnicki NIS |
LLLLWL |
| FK Partizan |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | FK Partizan | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Radnicki NIS | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Radnicki NIS | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-04 | FK Partizan | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-11 | Radnicki NIS | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-13 | FK Partizan | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | FK Partizan | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga | 4-0 |
| 2022-07-15 | Radnicki NIS | FK Partizan | Super Liga | 3-3 |
| 2022-05-22 | FK Partizan | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.9%, draw 25.2%, away 50.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.04 | 3.84 | 1.84 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 3.80 | 3.62 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84 | 3.64 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .