Mladost Lucani
vs
Radnik Surdulica
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mladost Lucani
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica
| Probability | Mladost Lucani | Draw | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 29.2% | 35.1% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 35.7% | 29.2% | 35.1% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Mladost Lucani
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica match preview
Mladost Lucani will face Radnik Surdulica in an upcoming Serbia Super Liga match, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Mladost Lucani has a 36% probability of winning, while Radnik Surdulica stands at 35%, and a draw is estimated at 29%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Mladost Lucani, with an expected goals tally of 1.29 for Mladost and 1.27 for Radnik.
In terms of recent form, Mladost Lucani has recorded a sequence of D-L-D-W-L-W, while Radnik Surdulica's form shows L-W-L-D-D-D. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters favors Mladost Lucani with 1 win and 2 draws, as Radnik Surdulica has yet to secure a victory against them. The probabilities suggest a closely contested match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mladost Lucani and Radnik Surdulica expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Mladost Lucani and Radnik Surdulica attack and defence ratings
Mladost Lucani
Radnik Surdulica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost Lucani | 35.7% | 2.80 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.87 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost Lucani | 35.7% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Radnik Surdulica | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mladost Lucani win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica stats
Mladost Lucani and Radnik Surdulica recent form
| Mladost Lucani |
DLDWLW |
| Radnik Surdulica |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mladost Lucani and Radnik Surdulica season so far
Mladost Lucani record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Radnik Surdulica record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Radnik Surdulica | Mladost Lucani | Serbia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Radnik Surdulica | Mladost Lucani | Serbia Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Mladost Lucani | Radnik Surdulica | Serbia Super Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.