Serbia Super Liga · ·Matchday 2

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

Garuda Lions Prediction: Radnicki 1923

1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Radnicki 1923 is the favourite, not a value bet.

Čika Dača Stadium, Kragujevac

Radnicki 1923 39%
Draw 29%
Železničar Pančevo 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Radnicki 1923 wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
47%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRadnicki 1923DrawŽelezničar Pančevo
Model36.1%31.2%32.6%
Market40.4%28.0%31.7%
Final39.3%28.8%31.9%
Edge-1.1%+0.8%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.0% per unit staked (our 39.3% × 2.34 − 1).

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo match preview

Radnicki 1923 faces Železničar Pančevo in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive contest. Radnicki 1923 has a 39% chance of winning, while Železničar Pančevo holds a 32% probability, with a 29% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Radnicki 1923 is 1.17 compared to 1.10 for Železničar Pančevo, indicating a closely matched offensive performance.

Recent form shows Radnicki 1923 with two wins, a loss, and a draw in their last five matches, while Železničar Pančevo has won four of their last five. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Radnicki 1923, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% likelihood of both teams scoring.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Radnicki 1923 ↓ / Železničar Pan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo expected goals

Radnicki 1923 1.17
Železničar Pančevo 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.27

Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo attack and defence ratings

Radnicki 1923

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Železničar Pančevo

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Radnicki 1923 39.3% 2.54 -1.1% 2.34
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.9% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Radnicki 192339.3%
Draw28.8%
Železničar Pančevo31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Radnicki 1923 win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss63.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.6%
1-010.7%

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo stats

Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo season so far

league record

Radnicki 1923 record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Železničar Pančevo record

  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Radnicki 1923 wins 2Draws 3Železničar Pančevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-29Železničar PančevoRadnicki 1923Serbia Super Liga1-0
2025-07-27Radnicki 1923Železničar PančevoSerbia Super Liga1-1
2024-11-24Železničar PančevoRadnicki 1923Super Liga1-1
2024-07-19Radnicki 1923Železničar PančevoSuper Liga2-3
2024-03-13Radnicki 1923Železničar PančevoSuper Liga3-0
2023-10-01Železničar PančevoRadnicki 1923Super Liga0-2
2022-05-29Radnicki 1923Železničar PančevoSuper Liga0-1
2022-05-25Železničar PančevoRadnicki 1923Super Liga1-3
2021-02-20Železničar PančevoRadnicki 1923Prva Liga0-1
2020-08-15Radnicki 1923Železničar PančevoPrva Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 28.0%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.34 3.46 2.98
Bet365 2.20 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.05 3.00 2.63
Betano 2.27 3.25 2.87
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.88
Dafabet 2.31 3.25 2.95
Marathonbet 2.20 3.26 2.80
Pinnacle 2.26 3.31 2.89
William Hill 2.25 3.10 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▼ -0.04
X 3.26 ▲ +0.04
2 2.88 ▼ -0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Radnicki 1923 Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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