KuPS
vs
Inter Turku
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Turku
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Inter Turku is the favourite, not a value bet.
KuPS vs Inter Turku overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs Inter Turku
| Probability | KuPS | Draw | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.1% | 31.6% | 39.3% |
| Market | 24.4% | 24.6% | 51.0% |
| Final | 25.6% | 26.4% | 48.1% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
Why Inter Turku
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.86, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (our 48.1% × 1.86 − 1).
KuPS vs Inter Turku match preview
KuPS faces Inter Turku in a Veikkausliiga clash with both teams showing contrasting recent form. KuPS has recorded one win in their last six matches, with a sequence of results reading L-D-D-L-W-L. In contrast, Inter Turku has been more consistent, achieving three wins in their last five outings, including a recent win followed by a draw.
The probabilities from our model suggest a close contest, with KuPS at 31%, a draw at 34%, and Inter Turku slightly favored at 36%. The expected goals are 0.95 for KuPS and 1.04 for Inter Turku, indicating a narrow margin. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Both teams have a 41% chance of scoring, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 32%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KuPS and Inter Turku expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
KuPS and Inter Turku attack and defence ratings
KuPS
Inter Turku
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
KuPS vs Inter Turku markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 48.1% | 2.08 | -2.9% | 1.86 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 25.6% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Inter Turku | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-1 | 12.0% |
KuPS vs Inter Turku stats
KuPS and Inter Turku recent form
| KuPS |
DLDDLW |
| Inter Turku |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KuPS and Inter Turku season so far
KuPS record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Inter Turku record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS vs Inter Turku head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-30 | KuPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | KuPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-17 | KuPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Suomen Cup | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-01 | KuPS | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-19 | Inter Turku | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KuPS vs Inter Turku odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 24.6%, away 51.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.79 | 3.76 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.70 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 3.95 | 3.85 | 1.86 |
| Marathonbet | 3.80 | 3.76 | 1.83 |
| Pinnacle | 4.06 | 4.04 | 1.79 |
| SBO | 3.54 | 3.29 | 1.78 |
| William Hill | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .