Lommel United
vs
Gent
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gent
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.15.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Lommel United vs Gent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lommel United vs Gent
| Probability | Lommel United | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.0% | 26.5% | 48.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gent
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Lommel United vs Gent match preview
In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, Lommel United faces Gent, with probabilities indicating a 25% chance for Lommel United to win, a 26% likelihood of a draw, and a 49% chance for Gent to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals are 1.15 for Lommel United and 1.67 for Gent, suggesting a competitive match.
Recent form shows Lommel United with a mixed record of draws and losses, specifically D-L-W-W-D-L, while Gent has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches with a record of W-L-D-W-W-W. Additionally, there is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lommel United and Gent expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Lommel United and Gent attack and defence ratings
Lommel United
Gent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page
Before and after this match
Lommel United vs Gent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gent | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lommel United | 25.0% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Gent | 48.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gent win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 8.8% |
Lommel United vs Gent stats
Lommel United and Gent recent form
| Lommel United |
DLWWDL |
| Gent |
WLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lommel United and Gent season so far
Lommel United record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Gent record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.