Anderlecht
vs
KVC Westerlo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Anderlecht
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Anderlecht is the favourite, not a value bet.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
| Probability | Anderlecht | Draw | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 23.3% | 37.9% |
| Market | 60.2% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| Final | 54.9% | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -5.3% | +0.6% | +4.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (our 54.9% × 1.57 − 1).
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo match preview
Anderlecht faces KVC Westerlo in a Jupiler Pro League matchup with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Anderlecht has a 52% probability of winning, while KVC Westerlo stands at 26%, and a draw is at 23%. The expected goals are 2.08 for Anderlecht and 1.43 for KVC Westerlo, suggesting a competitive game. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows Anderlecht with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while KVC Westerlo is on a strong run, having drawn once and won five times in the same period. Additionally, there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score, with a 67% probability. In their last three encounters, Anderlecht has secured two victories, while KVC Westerlo has one win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo attack and defence ratings
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
- Lommel United v Gent — match page
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page
Before and after this match
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 54.9% | 1.82 | -5.3% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 54.9% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| KVC Westerlo | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo stats
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo recent form
| Anderlecht |
LWLLWW |
| KVC Westerlo |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo season so far
Anderlecht record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KVC Westerlo record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | KVC Westerlo | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 5-2 |
| 2024-12-05 | Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | Belgium Cup | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 20.9%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.62 | 5.13 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.33 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.65 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.55 | 5.04 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .