Zulte Waregem
vs
Club Brugge KV
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Brugge KV
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.24.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Club Brugge KV is the favourite, not a value bet.
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV
| Probability | Zulte Waregem | Draw | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 23.8% | 53.5% |
| Market | 17.8% | 20.5% | 61.7% |
| Final | 19.1% | 21.3% | 59.6% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +0.8% | -2.0% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (our 59.6% × 1.55 − 1).
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV match preview
Zulte Waregem faces Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League with a challenging matchup ahead. According to our model, Zulte Waregem has a 21% chance of winning, while Club Brugge KV holds a 56% probability of victory. The expected goals for Zulte Waregem stand at 1.22, compared to Club Brugge KV's 1.77, indicating a potential 1-2 scoreline, which has a 10% likelihood.
Recent form reveals contrasting trajectories, with Zulte Waregem recording one win in their last six matches (W-L-L-L-W-D), while Club Brugge KV boasts an impressive six consecutive victories (W-W-W-W-W-W). The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 57%, and both teams scoring is projected at 60%, suggesting an engaging contest ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV attack and defence ratings
Zulte Waregem
Club Brugge KV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
- Lommel United v Gent — match page
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page
Before and after this match
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 59.6% | 1.68 | -2.0% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 19.1% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Club Brugge KV | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV stats
Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV recent form
| Zulte Waregem |
LWLLLW |
| Club Brugge KV |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV season so far
Zulte Waregem record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Club Brugge KV record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Club Brugge KV | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 4-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.8%, draw 20.5%, away 61.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.44 | 4.77 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.30 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.60 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 5.30 | 4.65 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.29 | 4.63 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .