RAAL La Louvière
vs
Zulte Waregem
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zulte Waregem
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.24.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem
| Probability | RAAL La Louvière | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 24.2% | 52.3% |
| Market | 32.1% | 27.9% | 40.0% |
| Final | 29.9% | 27.0% | 43.1% |
| Edge | -2.1% | -0.9% | +3.1% |
Why Zulte Waregem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.24.
- The market prices Zulte Waregem below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.9% per unit staked (our 43.1% × 2.41 − 1).
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem match preview
In the upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, RAAL La Louvière faces Zulte Waregem, with the model giving RAAL La Louvière a 24% chance of winning, while Zulte Waregem holds a 52% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The model also indicates a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows RAAL La Louvière with a mixed record of W-L-L-W-L-D, while Zulte Waregem has a slightly better recent performance of W-L-L-L-W-D. In their last four encounters, RAAL La Louvière has not secured a win, recording 2 draws and 2 losses against Zulte Waregem. The expected goals for this match are 1.24 for RAAL La Louvière and 1.93 for Zulte Waregem.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem attack and defence ratings
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen — team news & stats
- Antwerp vs Charleroi
- OH Leuven v Lommel United — match page
- KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren — team news & stats
- Genk v Standard Liege — match page
- Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden
- Gent v Anderlecht — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge — team news & stats
Before and after this match
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 43.1% | 2.32 | +3.1% | 2.41 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RAAL La Louvière | 29.9% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Zulte Waregem | 43.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zulte Waregem win | 30.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem stats
RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem recent form
| RAAL La Louvière |
WLLWLD |
| Zulte Waregem |
WLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem season so far
RAAL La Louvière record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Zulte Waregem record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Zulte Waregem | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Zulte Waregem | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.1%, draw 27.9%, away 40.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.42 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.34 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.39 | 2.33 |
| SBO | 2.76 | 3.05 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .