Belgium Cup · ·Round of 32

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège

Garuda Lions Prediction: Liège

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

RAAL La Louvière 35%
Draw 24%
Liège 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Liège wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
71%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège overview

Garuda Lions analysis: RAAL La Louvière vs Liège

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRAAL La LouvièreDrawLiège
Model35.3%23.5%41.1%
Market———
Final35.3%23.5%41.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège match preview

RAAL La Louvière faces Liège in the Belgium Cup on October 17, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for this match show RAAL La Louvière at 35% to win, a draw at 24%, and Liège at 41%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoring, with a 71% chance that both will find the net.

In terms of expected goals, RAAL La Louvière is projected to score 1.74, while Liège is forecasted at 1.89. Recent form indicates that RAAL La Louvière has struggled, with a record of L-L-W-L-D-L in their last six matches. Liège has also had inconsistent results, recording L-W-L-D-D-L in the same timeframe. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

RAAL La Louviè ↓ / Liège → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

RAAL La Louvière and Liège expected goals

RAAL La Louvière 1.74
Liège 1.89

Total expected goals: 3.63

RAAL La Louvière and Liège attack and defence ratings

RAAL La Louvière

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Liège

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Belgium Cup

Before and after this match

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liège 41.1% 2.43 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.2% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.8% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2RAAL La Louvière35.3%
Draw23.5%
Liège41.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.2%
Under 2.529.8%
Both teams to scoreYes70.8%
No29.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.9%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)64.7%
Handicap -1Liège win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
1-28.2%
2-17.6%

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège stats

RAAL La Louvière and Liège recent form

newest first
RAAL La Louvière LLWLDL
Liège LWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

RAAL La Louvière vs Liège odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Liège Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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