Belgium Cup Β· Β·Round of 32

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden

Garuda Lions Prediction: KVC Westerlo

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

KVC Westerlo 61%
Draw 21%
Patro Eisden 18%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance KVC Westerlo wins
61%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKVC WesterloDrawPatro Eisden
Model56.4%22.1%21.5%
Market63.1%20.3%16.6%
Final61.4%20.8%17.8%
Edge-6.7%+1.8%+4.9%

Confidence: Low

Why KVC Westerlo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.49, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden match preview

KVC Westerlo enters the match against Patro Eisden with a strong recent form, having won four of their last five games, while Patro Eisden has struggled, recording only two wins in their last six matches. According to our model, KVC Westerlo has a 56% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1, which occurs at a rate of 10%.

The expected goals for KVC Westerlo stand at 2.18, compared to Patro Eisden's 1.31, suggesting a potential for a high-scoring encounter. Additionally, there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KVC Westerlo ↓ / Patro Eisden β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

KVC Westerlo and Patro Eisden expected goals

KVC Westerlo 2.18
Patro Eisden 1.31

Total expected goals: 3.48

KVC Westerlo and Patro Eisden attack and defence ratings

KVC Westerlo

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Patro Eisden

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Belgium Cup

Before and after this match

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KVC Westerlo 61.4% 1.63 -6.7% 1.49
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.5% 1.53 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.2% 1.22 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 43.6% 2.29 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KVC Westerlo61.4%
Draw20.8%
Patro Eisden17.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.6%
Under 2.532.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.5%
No34.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.2%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)38.6%
Handicap -1KVC Westerlo win35.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss43.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-19.5%
2-07.3%

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden stats

KVC Westerlo and Patro Eisden recent form

newest first
KVC Westerlo WWWWDL
Patro Eisden WWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1KVC Westerlo wins 0Draws 0Patro Eisden wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-07-02KVC WesterloPatro EisdenFriendlies Clubs2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KVC Westerlo vs Patro Eisden odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.1%, draw 20.3%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.47 5.00 5.95
Bet365 1.44 4.33 5.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.50 6.00
Betano 1.47 4.20 5.20
Betfair 1.40 4.60 5.50
Dafabet 1.49 4.80 6.00
Marathonbet 1.45 4.40 5.90
Pinnacle 1.45 4.16 5.02
William Hill 1.40 4.50 5.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far β€” movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 KVC Westerlo Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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