KVC Westerlo
vs
Antwerp
Garuda Lions Prediction: KVC Westerlo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp
| Probability | KVC Westerlo | Draw | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 19.8% | 22.4% |
| Market | 44.3% | 24.8% | 30.8% |
| Final | 47.7% | 23.6% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +13.5% | -5.1% | -8.5% |
Why KVC Westerlo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices KVC Westerlo below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp match preview
KVC Westerlo enters this match with a strong recent form, having won three of their last five games, while Antwerp has struggled, recording four losses in their last five outings. The model suggests a 48% probability of a KVC Westerlo victory, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1, occurring at an 8% likelihood. The expected goals for KVC Westerlo stands at 2.54, compared to Antwerp's 1.58, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high at 78%, and both teams are expected to score with a 74% probability. In their last four encounters, KVC Westerlo and Antwerp have each secured two wins, highlighting a competitive rivalry. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a mix of probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KVC Westerlo and Antwerp expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.12
KVC Westerlo and Antwerp attack and defence ratings
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SK Beveren vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
- RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
- Zulte Waregem vs Gent
- Genk v Kortrijk — match page
- Standard Liege v Charleroi — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — team news & stats
- KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — team news & stats
Before and after this match
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KVC Westerlo | 47.7% | 2.10 | +13.5% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KVC Westerlo | 47.7% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Antwerp | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% |
| No | 26.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | KVC Westerlo win | 38.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.2% | |
| 3-1 | 7.0% |
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp stats
KVC Westerlo and Antwerp recent form
| KVC Westerlo |
WWWDLL |
| Antwerp |
LLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KVC Westerlo and Antwerp season so far
KVC Westerlo record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Antwerp record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Antwerp | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | 2-4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Antwerp | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 24.8%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.92 | 3.13 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.80 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.82 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.94 | 3.04 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.29 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .