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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

5 – 1 Full time

22′I. Salah
26′T. Van den Keybus
45′C. Sandra
46′T. Van den KeybusE. Tsimba
51′M. Benitez
56′I. Sakamoto
57′M. FreyS. Porozo
60′N. Bassette
65′X. DierckxC. Scott
65′I. SalahM. Fofana
72′E. Tsimba
73′N. BassetteR. Laalaoui
75′C. Scott
77′S. Porozo
84′D. FoulonY. Tsunashima
85′I. SakamotoYang Min-Hyuk
85′S. SaitoN. Bohamdi-Kamoni
85′S. RendersL. Narh
87′A. Cortes
88′L. Flo
89′C. SandraP. Diong
90′Yang Min-Hyuk

Het Kuipje, WesterloReferee: B. Van Driessche

KVC Westerlo 51%
Draw 23%
Antwerp 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
57 Possession % 43
3 Corners 3
17 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 1
442 Accurate passes 333

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKVC WesterloDrawAntwerp
Model57.3%19.9%22.8%
Market48.9%24.3%26.8%
Final51.0%23.2%25.8%
Edge+2.1%-1.1%-1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why KVC Westerlo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices KVC Westerlo below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KVC Westerlo ↓ / Antwerp → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 4% 7% 6% 4+ 5% 8% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp expected goals

KVC Westerlo 2.52
Antwerp 1.59

Total expected goals: 4.12

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp attack and defence ratings

KVC Westerlo

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Antwerp

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp: result vs prediction

KVC Westerlo 5 – 1 Antwerp

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KVC Westerlo 51.0% 1.96 +2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.8% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.7% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KVC Westerlo51.0%
Draw23.2%
Antwerp25.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.8%
Under 2.522.2%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.2%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.0%
Handicap -1KVC Westerlo win37.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss42.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
1-17.2%
3-17.0%

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp stats

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp recent form

newest first
KVC Westerlo WWWDLL
Antwerp LLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KVC Westerlo and Antwerp going into this match

league record before kick-off

KVC Westerlo record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.

Antwerp record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2KVC Westerlo wins 2Draws 6Antwerp wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23AntwerpKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League2-0
2026-04-25KVC WesterloAntwerpJupiler Pro League2-4
2026-02-15AntwerpKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League0-2
2025-08-30KVC WesterloAntwerpJupiler Pro League2-0
2025-01-19AntwerpKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League3-2
2024-09-21KVC WesterloAntwerpJupiler Pro League1-2
2023-12-23AntwerpKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League2-2
2023-09-15KVC WesterloAntwerpJupiler Pro League0-3
2022-12-27KVC WesterloAntwerpJupiler Pro League3-3
2022-09-04AntwerpKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 24.3%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 3.98 3.49
Bet365 1.90 3.70 3.50
BetVictor 1.90 3.90 3.50
Betano 1.98 3.90 3.50
Betfair 1.85 3.60 3.50
Dafabet 2.01 3.85 3.40
Marathonbet 1.91 3.88 3.40
Pinnacle 1.95 3.96 3.69
SBO 1.93 3.47 3.10
William Hill 1.91 3.60 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.16
X 3.87 ▲ +0.08
2 3.50 ▲ +0.46

14 snapshots recorded, from .