Zulte Waregem
vs
Gent
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gent
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Zulte Waregem vs Gent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zulte Waregem vs Gent
| Probability | Zulte Waregem | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.2% | 31.4% | 34.3% |
| Market | 33.1% | 27.9% | 39.0% |
| Final | 33.4% | 28.8% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +3.5% | -4.7% |
Why Gent
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.51, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent match preview
Zulte Waregem faces Gent in an upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a close contest, giving Zulte Waregem a 33% chance of winning, while Gent holds a 38% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% frequency, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Zulte Waregem has recorded two losses, one win, and two draws in their last five matches, while Gent is on a strong run, winning their last six games. The expected goals for both teams stand at 1.12, reflecting a balanced attacking output. Historically, in their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zulte Waregem and Gent expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Zulte Waregem and Gent attack and defence ratings
Zulte Waregem
Gent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Zulte Waregem vs Gent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gent | 37.8% | 2.64 | -4.7% | 2.51 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 33.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Gent | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gent win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-1 | 10.6% |
Zulte Waregem vs Gent stats
Zulte Waregem and Gent recent form
| Zulte Waregem |
LLWDWD |
| Gent |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zulte Waregem and Gent season so far
Zulte Waregem record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Gent record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Zulte Waregem | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2024-07-20 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-19 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2023-03-12 | Zulte Waregem | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 2-6 |
| 2022-09-11 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-06 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Zulte Waregem | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-18 | Zulte Waregem | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 2-7 |
| 2020-11-29 | Gent | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zulte Waregem vs Gent odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 27.9%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.89 | 3.49 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.38 | 2.51 |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.04 | 2.25 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .