Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht

1 – 2 Full time

4′S. Ngoura
11′A. Manneh
46′D. SikanM. Cvetkovic
46′L. AmbrosO. Antman
59′A. MannehD. Vanzeir
59′C. HerrmannV. Martens
59′M. KanaM. Stroeykens
66′L. AugustinssonA. Bertaccini
71′H. van der BruggenL. Mondele
71′T. AkinsolaA. K. Ouattara
78′I. KoutsoupiasT. Aasgaard
80′S. NgouraK. Kouassi
86′T. Bentayeb
89′K. Barry
90′O. Antman
90′A. Bertaccini

Jan Breydel Stadion, BruggeReferee: K. van Damme

Cercle Brugge 26%
Draw 25%
Anderlecht 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
34 Possession % 66
4 Corners 4
9 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
234 Accurate passes 520

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCercle BruggeDrawAnderlecht
Model22.3%25.0%52.7%
Market27.1%25.5%47.4%
Final25.9%25.4%48.7%
Edge-1.2%-0.1%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Anderlecht

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cercle Brugge ↓ / Anderlecht → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht expected goals

Cercle Brugge 1.14
Anderlecht 1.84

Total expected goals: 2.97

Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings

Cercle Brugge

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Anderlecht

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht: result vs prediction

Cercle Brugge 1 – 2 Anderlecht

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Anderlecht 48.7% 2.05 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cercle Brugge25.9%
Draw25.4%
Anderlecht48.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.1%
Under 2.542.9%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.3%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)74.1%
Handicap -1Anderlecht win30.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-29.8%
0-28.6%

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht stats

Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht recent form

newest first
Cercle Brugge LDLLLD
Anderlecht WLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cercle Brugge record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Anderlecht record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Cercle Brugge wins 1Draws 7Anderlecht wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22AnderlechtCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League2-3
2025-08-03Cercle BruggeAnderlechtJupiler Pro League0-2
2025-03-16AnderlechtCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League3-0
2024-11-10Cercle BruggeAnderlechtJupiler Pro League0-5
2024-04-28Cercle BruggeAnderlechtJupiler Pro League1-1
2024-04-24AnderlechtCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League3-0
2023-12-27AnderlechtCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League2-0
2023-11-05Cercle BruggeAnderlechtJupiler Pro League0-3
2023-03-12AnderlechtCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League2-0
2022-07-30Cercle BruggeAnderlechtJupiler Pro League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 25.5%, away 47.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.47 3.78 2.02
Bet365 3.50 3.60 1.91
BetVictor 3.50 3.70 1.95
Betano 3.60 3.65 2.00
Betfair 3.30 3.60 1.90
Dafabet 3.45 3.75 2.03
Marathonbet 3.38 3.68 1.97
Pinnacle 3.68 3.78 2.01
SBO 3.13 3.29 1.98
William Hill 3.40 3.40 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.46 ▲ +0.07
X 3.67 ▲ +0.04
2 1.98 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .