Cercle Brugge
vs
Anderlecht
Garuda Lions Prediction: Anderlecht
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht
| Probability | Cercle Brugge | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 25.0% | 52.5% |
| Market | 27.2% | 25.4% | 47.4% |
| Final | 26.0% | 25.3% | 48.7% |
| Edge | -4.7% | -0.4% | +5.1% |
Why Anderlecht
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Anderlecht below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.03, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht match preview
Cercle Brugge faces Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League with probabilities indicating a stronger likelihood of an Anderlecht victory at 53%, compared to Cercle Brugge's 22%. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 57%, and both teams scoring at 58%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with expected goals of 1.14 for Cercle Brugge and 1.83 for Anderlecht.
Recent form shows Cercle Brugge struggling with five matches without a win (L-D-L-L-L-D), while Anderlecht has had a mixed performance with three wins in their last six matches (W-L-W-D-W-L). In their last two head-to-head encounters, both teams have secured one victory each. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting model-only probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SK Beveren vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
- Zulte Waregem vs Gent
- Genk v Kortrijk — match page
- Standard Liege v Charleroi — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — team news & stats
- KVC Westerlo v Antwerp — match page
- KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 48.7% | 2.05 | +5.1% | 2.03 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 26.0% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Anderlecht | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht stats
Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht recent form
| Cercle Brugge |
LDLLLD |
| Anderlecht |
WLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht season so far
Cercle Brugge record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Anderlecht record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Anderlecht | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Cercle Brugge | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Anderlecht | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Cercle Brugge | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 0-5 |
| 2024-04-28 | Cercle Brugge | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-24 | Anderlecht | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-27 | Anderlecht | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Cercle Brugge | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2023-03-12 | Anderlecht | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Cercle Brugge | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 25.4%, away 47.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.47 | 3.78 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.75 | 2.03 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.68 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.79 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.05 | 3.21 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .